Sha Tin · 2021-02-14
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FANTASTIC TREASURE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by D A Hayes, won by NOSE, with SMART WONGCHOY second and FAMILY FOLKS third. The 4.1 favourite SMART WONGCHOY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FANTASTIC TREASURE 1.10.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 13 | 26.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 14 | SMART WONGCHOY H A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.1 | NOSE |
| 3 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 7 | 8.1 | HD |
| 4 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT B-/V1 C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 9 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | GOOD BUDDY H- B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 165.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | ULTIMATE GLORY V N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HOT CHILI PEPPER CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | FORMULA EXCEL C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 90.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | GALACTIC K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 13 | SUNNY AND GOLD H/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | BULLISH UNICORN TT1 C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | FULL SAILING H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 280.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | RUN DES RUN M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 30.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 5 | ALL YOU WANT B1/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 14 | 184.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | TOUCH FAITH C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 23.8% | 4.21 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | BULLISH UNICORN | 13.1% | 7.66 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 12.7% | 7.90 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS | 8.8% | 11.35 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | SMART WONGCHOY | 7.5% | 13.34 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 7.4% | 13.53 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | FORMULA EXCEL | 7.1% | 14.15 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | GALACTIC | 6.2% | 16.15 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | RUN DES RUN | 5.1% | 19.80 | 13 |
| 10 | 10 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 3.8% | 26.17 | 1 |
| 11 | 13 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 3.1% | 31.95 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | FULL SAILING | 0.7% | 148.95 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | GOOD BUDDY | 0.5% | 218.52 | 5 |
| 14 | 5 | ALL YOU WANT | 0.4% | 232.20 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 265
PLACE
2 26.5
10 72.5
14 15
QUINELLA
10,14 663.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 239.5
2,14 65
10,14 186.5
FORECAST
10,14 1,084
TIERCE
10,14,2 11,479
TRIO
2,10,14 1,363
FIRST 4
1,2,10,14 1,472
QUARTET
10,14,2,1 43,541
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 31
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/10 2,233.5
9/14 34.5