沙田 · 2021-02-14
第 4場
2021-02-14沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、D A Hayes訓練的FANTASTIC TREASURE勝出，贏出NOSE。SMART WONGCHOY獲得亞軍；FAMILY FOLKS獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門SMART WONGCHOY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FANTASTIC TREASURE 1.10.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 13 | 26.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 14 | SMART WONGCHOY H A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.1 | NOSE |
| 3 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 7 | 8.1 | HD |
| 4 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT B-/V1 C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 9 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | GOOD BUDDY H- B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 165.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | ULTIMATE GLORY V N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HOT CHILI PEPPER CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | FORMULA EXCEL C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 90.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | GALACTIC K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 13 | SUNNY AND GOLD H/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | BULLISH UNICORN TT1 C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | FULL SAILING H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 280.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | RUN DES RUN M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 30.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 5 | ALL YOU WANT B1/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 14 | 184.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | TOUCH FAITH C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 23.8% | 4.21 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | BULLISH UNICORN | 13.1% | 7.66 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 12.7% | 7.90 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS | 8.8% | 11.35 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | SMART WONGCHOY | 7.5% | 13.34 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 7.4% | 13.53 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | FORMULA EXCEL | 7.1% | 14.15 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | GALACTIC | 6.2% | 16.15 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | RUN DES RUN | 5.1% | 19.80 | 13 |
| 10 | 10 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 3.8% | 26.17 | 1 |
| 11 | 13 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 3.1% | 31.95 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | FULL SAILING | 0.7% | 148.95 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | GOOD BUDDY | 0.5% | 218.52 | 5 |
| 14 | 5 | ALL YOU WANT | 0.4% | 232.20 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 265
PLACE
2 26.5
10 72.5
14 15
QUINELLA
10,14 663.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 239.5
2,14 65
10,14 186.5
FORECAST
10,14 1,084
TIERCE
10,14,2 11,479
TRIO
2,10,14 1,363
FIRST 4
1,2,10,14 1,472
QUARTET
10,14,2,1 43,541
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 31
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/10 2,233.5
9/14 34.5