沙田 · 2021-02-14
第 5場
2021-02-14沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、W Y So訓練的DECISIVE TWELVE勝出，贏出3/4。SUPER WINNER獲得亞軍；PRANCE DRAGON獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門DIVINE ERA跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT 1.09.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER WINNER TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | PRANCE DRAGON V/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | DIVINE ERA XB1 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 6 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER MISSION K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BRANDING POWER B1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 4.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | WISDOM PATCH XB/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | DRAGON FORTUNE TT1 C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 13 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 14 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GOLDEN BOLT XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 12 | 94.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | LUCKY PUZZLE SR2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 51.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | WHO LOVES THE ACE C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 9 | 46.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | HAPPY RUBY H1/P1/XB1/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 10 | 198.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | HOLYSHOWCASING T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 11 | 208.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER MISSION | 14.3% | 6.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | BRANDING POWER | 11.2% | 8.93 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | PRANCE DRAGON | 10.9% | 9.19 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPER WINNER | 10.4% | 9.59 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | WHO LOVES THE ACE | 9.4% | 10.60 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | DIVINE ERA | 8.1% | 12.29 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 8.0% | 12.43 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 8.0% | 12.43 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 7.8% | 12.89 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | WISDOM PATCH | 3.9% | 25.50 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 3.6% | 27.73 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | GOLDEN BOLT | 3.0% | 33.16 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 0.7% | 133.72 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | HAPPY RUBY | 0.5% | 207.74 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 61.5
PLACE
2 24
4 16.5
12 47.5
QUINELLA
4,12 475.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 69
2,12 185.5
4,12 158
FORECAST
4,12 861
TIERCE
4,12,2 4,953
TRIO
2,4,12 907
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 719
QUARTET
4,12,2,5 17,916
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,14/2,4,12 148,650
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20
4TH DOUBLE
10/4 1,704.5
10/12 762