沙田 · 2021-02-14
第 1場
2021-02-14沙田第1場，Class 5，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的KUNGFUMASTER PANDA勝出，贏出1-1/4。AMAZING AGILITY獲得亞軍；THE JOY OF GIVING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA 後段發力 B/TT 2.03.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY 後段發力 SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | THE JOY OF GIVING 後段發力 B/H V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 12 | 53.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | FORTUNE PATROL 後段發力 B/H/XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 2 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | JOLLY FOREVER 後段發力 V-/XB1/TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 10 | 65.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | FORTUNE TRIPLE 後段發力 T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 5 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | HAY RUN XB-/V/TT2 B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 7 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | NUREMBERG B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 6.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | STAR WIN B-/CP2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 59.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SMART THINKER TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 14 | 7.6 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | YOU HAVE MY WORD 後段發力 B C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 13 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | WICKER 早段領放 B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 9 | 34.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS V-/B2 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 19.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 4 | 24.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NUREMBERG | 13.1% | 7.61 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | FORTUNE PATROL | 12.9% | 7.77 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | SMART THINKER | 10.2% | 9.83 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY | 10.2% | 9.84 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 9.9% | 10.09 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 8.8% | 11.30 | 14 |
| 7 | 6 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 8.3% | 12.01 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 5.2% | 19.16 | 13 |
| 9 | 13 | WICKER | 5.0% | 20.01 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | STAR WIN | 4.9% | 20.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 3.7% | 27.16 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 3.3% | 30.07 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | HAY RUN | 2.3% | 43.57 | 7 |
| 14 | 8 | JOLLY FOREVER | 2.2% | 46.12 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 47
PLACE
3 19
5 19
14 139
QUINELLA
3,5 154.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 52.5
3,14 377
5,14 347
FORECAST
3,5 255
TIERCE
3,5,14 8,966
TRIO
3,5,14 1,733
FIRST 4
3,5,11,14 2,493
QUARTET
3,5,14,11 56,915
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 27