沙田 · 2021-02-14
第 3場
2021-02-14沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Soumillon策騎、C S Shum訓練的DANDY YEARS勝出，贏出N。NEW FUTURE獲得亞軍；SPARKY STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門SUPER TEN跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DANDY YEARS 後段發力 B/TT 1.22.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Soumillon · C S Shum | C Soumillon | C S Shum | 14 | 4.2 | N |
| 2 | 2 | NEW FUTURE 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 13 | 5.7 | N |
| 3 | 12 | SPARKY STAR 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 34.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER TEN XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | LIGHT OF WANSHI 後段發力 TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER 早段領放 H/V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 53.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ALL YOU KNOW 後段發力 H-/B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 6 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | ALEE KING PRAWN B V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 2 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | CIRCUIT HERO 後段發力 N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 11 | 170.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | JOYFUL MOMENTS B- H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 7 | 63.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER B1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | CIGARY 後段發力 B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 198.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | GOLD COMET CP C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 8 | 21.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | KELMIMI WINS B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 4 | 53.0 | 17-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER TEN | 34.0% | 2.94 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | NEW FUTURE | 12.8% | 7.81 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | DANDY YEARS | 10.7% | 9.37 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | GOLD COMET | 7.1% | 14.12 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | SPARKY STAR | 7.0% | 14.19 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | ALL YOU KNOW | 5.7% | 17.64 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER | 5.1% | 19.76 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 4.3% | 23.08 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 4.1% | 24.58 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | KELMIMI WINS | 3.2% | 31.40 | 14 |
| 11 | 13 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 2.6% | 38.22 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | CIGARY | 1.8% | 56.53 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 0.9% | 112.04 | 8 |
| 14 | 7 | CIRCUIT HERO | 0.8% | 130.89 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 42
PLACE
2 18.5
9 15.5
12 77.5
QUINELLA
2,9 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 42
2,12 271.5
9,12 238.5
FORECAST
9,2 319
TIERCE
9,2,12 8,194
TRIO
2,9,12 1,896
FIRST 4
2,5,9,12 582
QUARTET
9,2,12,5 22,378
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
9/2 453
9/9 3,230
3 PICK 1
A2 23.5
A3 —
A1 —