沙田 · 2021-02-14
第 2場
2021-02-14沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、J Size訓練的NOBLE MAN勝出，贏出N。SUN OF MAKFI獲得亞軍；JIANGXI STAMINA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門SUN OF MAKFI跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | NOBLE MAN 後段發力 B/E/TT 1.23.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 42.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | SUN OF MAKFI 後段發力 C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 1 | 2.8 | N |
| 3 | 2 | JIANGXI STAMINA 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | APOLAR WARRIOR 後段發力 V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | BLAZING PARTNERS B A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 3 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT 後段發力 T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 9 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SURE WIN WIN C Soumillon · T P Yung | C Soumillon | T P Yung | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | HAPPY JAI JAI 早段領放 B1/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 51.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 5 | 33.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | UNIVERSAL RECORD 後段發力 CP1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 13 | 84.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 4 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | BREAK RECORD CP-/B2/TT N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 10 | 160.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | FOR FUN'S SAKE 後段發力 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR TT1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 29.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUN OF MAKFI | 18.4% | 5.44 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SURE WIN WIN | 14.0% | 7.16 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | NOBLE MAN | 10.1% | 9.89 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 10.1% | 9.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 9.1% | 11.02 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 8.0% | 12.45 | 14 |
| 7 | 10 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 5.3% | 18.75 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 5.3% | 18.78 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 5.1% | 19.46 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 5.0% | 20.02 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 3.0% | 33.64 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 2.5% | 40.43 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 2.3% | 42.84 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | BREAK RECORD | 1.8% | 55.76 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 424.5
PLACE
2 16.5
3 14
9 103
QUINELLA
3,9 530
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 33
2,9 360
3,9 175
FORECAST
9,3 1,866
TIERCE
9,3,2 9,501
TRIO
2,3,9 801
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 1,463
QUARTET
9,3,2,5 53,598
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 23.5
3/9 2,404.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 28.5
A1 —