Sha Tin · 2021-02-14
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-14 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. NOBLE MAN, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by N, with SUN OF MAKFI second and JIANGXI STAMINA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SUN OF MAKFI finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | NOBLE MAN Closed strongly B/E/TT 1.23.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 42.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 1 | 2.8 | N |
| 3 | 2 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | APOLAR WARRIOR Closed strongly V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | BLAZING PARTNERS B A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 3 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 9 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SURE WIN WIN C Soumillon · T P Yung | C Soumillon | T P Yung | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | HAPPY JAI JAI Led early B1/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 51.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 5 | 33.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | UNIVERSAL RECORD Closed strongly CP1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 13 | 84.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 4 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | BREAK RECORD CP-/B2/TT N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 10 | 160.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | FOR FUN'S SAKE Closed strongly B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR TT1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 29.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUN OF MAKFI | 18.4% | 5.44 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SURE WIN WIN | 14.0% | 7.16 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | NOBLE MAN | 10.1% | 9.89 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 10.1% | 9.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 9.1% | 11.02 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 8.0% | 12.45 | 14 |
| 7 | 10 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 5.3% | 18.75 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 5.3% | 18.78 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 5.1% | 19.46 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 5.0% | 20.02 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 3.0% | 33.64 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 2.5% | 40.43 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 2.3% | 42.84 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | BREAK RECORD | 1.8% | 55.76 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 424.5
PLACE
2 16.5
3 14
9 103
QUINELLA
3,9 530
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 33
2,9 360
3,9 175
FORECAST
9,3 1,866
TIERCE
9,3,2 9,501
TRIO
2,3,9 801
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 1,463
QUARTET
9,3,2,5 53,598
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 23.5
3/9 2,404.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 28.5
A1 —