Sha Tin · 2021-02-14
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT 2.03.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING Closed strongly B/H V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 12 | 53.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 2 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly V-/XB1/TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 10 | 65.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 5 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAY RUN XB-/V/TT2 B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 7 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | NUREMBERG B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 6.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR WIN B-/CP2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 59.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART THINKER TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 14 | 7.6 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD Closed strongly B C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 13 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WICKER Led early B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 9 | 34.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS V-/B2 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 19.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 4 | 24.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-14 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. KUNGFUMASTER PANDA, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1-1/4, with AMAZING AGILITY second and THE JOY OF GIVING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NUREMBERG | 13.1% | 7.61 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 12.9% | 7.77 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART THINKER | 10.2% | 9.83 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 10.2% | 9.84 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 9.9% | 10.09 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 8.8% | 11.30 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | YOU HAVE MY WORD | 8.3% | 12.01 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 5.2% | 19.16 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | WICKER | 5.0% | 20.01 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR WIN | 4.9% | 20.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 3.7% | 27.16 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 3.3% | 30.07 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | HAY RUN | 2.3% | 43.57 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 2.2% | 46.12 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 47
PLACE
3 19
5 19
14 139
QUINELLA
3,5 154.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 52.5
3,14 377
5,14 347
FORECAST
3,5 255
TIERCE
3,5,14 8,966
TRIO
3,5,14 1,733
FIRST 4
3,5,11,14 2,493
QUARTET
3,5,14,11 56,915
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 27