Sha Tin · 2021-02-14
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR SHINE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 8.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE Closed strongly B V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 9 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CONGRATULATION Closed strongly B1/XB1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FAT TURTLE B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 9.2 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 67.0 | 14-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-14 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY SMILE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with STAR SHINE second and FAST MOST FURIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite CALIFORNIA RAD finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 29.1% | 3.44 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE | 24.4% | 4.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 10.9% | 9.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | FAT TURTLE | 10.5% | 9.49 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | STAR SHINE | 8.1% | 12.33 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 5.6% | 18.00 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 5.3% | 19.03 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD | 4.8% | 20.93 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | CONGRATULATION | 1.4% | 71.35 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 36
PLACE
3 20.5
6 21.5
9 15
QUINELLA
6,9 126
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 120
3,9 62.5
6,9 43
FORECAST
9,6 262
TIERCE
9,6,3 1,799
TRIO
3,6,9 389
FIRST 4
3,6,8,9 777
QUARTET
9,6,3,8 12,785
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,11,12/3,6,9 748,559
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5
7TH DOUBLE
7/6 153
7/9 284