Sha Tin · 2021-02-14
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-14 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MASTER MONTARO, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with HORSESAIN BOLT second and GREAT TREASURE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite INVINCIBLE MISSILE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MASTER MONTARO Closed strongly B-/XB-/CP1 1.21.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 66.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | THE CROWN Closed strongly H- C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 13 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 14 | 9.1 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | TRUE LEGEND Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 6.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | CRAIG'S STAR B M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | BAY TIBBS K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly P/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 4 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 6 | 5.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | YO BEAUTY TT1 N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 10 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | TURQUOISE ALPHA T Piccone · P O'Sullivan | T Piccone | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 60.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | SUPER DYNAMITE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 73.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE CROWN | 17.5% | 5.71 | 5 |
| 2 | 14 | TRUE LEGEND | 13.2% | 7.59 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | MASTER MONTARO | 12.3% | 8.10 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 8.7% | 11.45 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 8.6% | 11.59 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 8.6% | 11.67 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | CRAIG'S STAR | 7.5% | 13.38 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | YO BEAUTY | 6.5% | 15.34 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | BAY TIBBS | 3.7% | 26.99 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.3% | 30.11 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 3.3% | 30.70 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 2.4% | 41.40 | 2 |
| 13 | 13 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 2.4% | 42.55 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 2.0% | 50.47 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 85.5
PLACE
7 28.5
11 61
12 154.5
QUINELLA
7,12 3,441.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 293.5
7,12 907.5
11,12 1,800
FORECAST
7,12 5,726
TIERCE
7,12,11 69,705
TRIO
7,11,12 18,774
FIRST 4
6,7,11,12 12,513
QUARTET
7,12,11,6 408,696
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 23
6TH DOUBLE
3/7 227
3/12 895.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,12/3,10,13/Any Combination 2,733