沙田 · 2021-02-14
第 9場
2021-02-14沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、R Gibson訓練的WELLINGTON勝出，贏出SH。DUKE WAI獲得亞軍；ROMAN TURBO獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門SIGHT SUCCESS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WELLINGTON XB1 1.08.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 6 | 3.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | DUKE WAI B/H C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 7.6 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | ROMAN TURBO SR/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER WEALTHY H/XB1 C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 7 | 51.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SKY FIELD TT C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 11 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SIGHT SUCCESS E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 2.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY RUSH E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 62.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 1 | 60.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | SHINING ACE B/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 8 | 60.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 28.5% | 3.50 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | WELLINGTON | 26.4% | 3.79 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SKY FIELD | 15.2% | 6.57 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | DUKE WAI | 9.3% | 10.76 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | ROMAN TURBO | 5.3% | 19.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 4.0% | 25.24 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER WEALTHY | 3.8% | 26.30 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | ALL IN MIND | 3.1% | 32.26 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | BEAUTY RUSH | 2.2% | 46.43 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | SHINING ACE | 1.5% | 68.91 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | RACING FIGHTER | 0.8% | 122.28 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 30.5
PLACE
1 18.5
5 13
10 32
QUINELLA
1,5 112
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 41
1,10 103
5,10 63
FORECAST
5,1 244
TIERCE
5,1,10 1,302
TRIO
1,5,10 426
FIRST 4
1,5,9,10 1,327
QUARTET
5,1,10,9 14,847
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 40
9/5 147.5