Happy Valley · 2021-02-17
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-17 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RED BRICK FIGHTER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by 2, with VICTORY IN HAND second and MASTER ALBERT third. The 3.7 favourite VICTORY IN HAND finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B 1.09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | VICTORY IN HAND TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 7 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | HOT CHILI PEPPER CP-/B2/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | KING'S TROOPER B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GOOD LUCK MONEY K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 10 | 89.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 6.6 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | NOBLE BOYZ C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 9 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | AEROSONIC P/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | SURE WINNER B1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 3.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | CHAMP PATROL H- T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 8 | 29.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | COOLCELEB PC/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 70.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 23.1% | 4.33 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 20.1% | 4.98 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 12.4% | 8.08 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | VICTORY IN HAND | 10.3% | 9.74 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | NOBLE BOYZ | 6.1% | 16.31 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | CHAMP PATROL | 6.0% | 16.77 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | AEROSONIC | 5.5% | 18.24 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | SURE WINNER | 4.5% | 22.23 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | MASTER ALBERT | 4.1% | 24.17 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | KING'S TROOPER | 3.8% | 26.16 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | COOLCELEB | 2.7% | 37.07 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | GOOD LUCK MONEY | 1.5% | 68.55 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 59.5
PLACE
2 15.5
4 32
12 18
QUINELLA
2,12 108.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 78
2,12 44
4,12 134
FORECAST
12,2 210
TIERCE
12,2,4 1,958
TRIO
2,4,12 388
FIRST 4
2,4,10,12 995
QUARTET
12,2,4,10 19,180
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 51
2/12 431
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25.5
A1 —