Happy Valley · 2021-02-17
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-17 was Class 3 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY FUN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by 4, with XIANG BAI QI second and ARROGANT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CHARITY FUN Closed strongly TT 2.16.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | XIANG BAI QI B V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 3 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | ARROGANT Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 9 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | VINCY Closed strongly V-/XB/TT T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 12 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 5.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 8 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | FLYING MIGHTY CP1 C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 6 | 6.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | STIMULATION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.7 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | HAPPY MY BROTHER Led early B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 9.2 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 23.2% | 4.32 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | CHARITY FUN | 14.6% | 6.84 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 9.1% | 11.03 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY MY BROTHER | 8.9% | 11.20 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | STIMULATION | 8.3% | 12.12 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | ARROGANT | 7.7% | 13.01 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | FLYING MIGHTY | 7.3% | 13.76 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | GOD OF DRAGON | 6.0% | 16.71 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | XIANG BAI QI | 4.4% | 22.65 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | ENRICHMENT | 4.3% | 23.53 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | VINCY | 3.9% | 25.62 | 4 |
| 12 | 1 | NAMJONG PLUS | 2.5% | 40.63 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 48
PLACE
4 48
7 21.5
12 45.5
QUINELLA
7,12 406
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 138.5
4,12 388
7,12 142.5
FORECAST
7,12 1,059
TIERCE
7,12,4 9,391
TRIO
4,7,12 1,743
FIRST 4
4,6,7,12 7,623
QUARTET
7,12,4,6 139,569
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 26
5TH DOUBLE
1/7 76
1/12 92.5