Happy Valley · 2021-02-17
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B 1.40.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FAST PACE Closed strongly H N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 10 | 7.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY Closed strongly B K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 9 | 112.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB/CP1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE Closed strongly C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 12 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | METHANE Closed strongly B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Led early SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | STAY CHILL CP T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 3 | 9.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MULTIPLE STAR TT1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 90.0 | 22 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-17 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VILLA FIONN, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with FAST PACE second and WINNING VOLATILITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite MALDIVES finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MALDIVES | 28.5% | 3.51 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 17.1% | 5.85 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | FAST PACE | 12.8% | 7.83 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 7.5% | 13.38 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | EL JEFE | 6.9% | 14.45 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | METHANE | 6.9% | 14.54 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 5.6% | 17.81 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 4.6% | 21.63 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS | 4.6% | 21.85 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | STAY CHILL | 4.3% | 23.39 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 0.9% | 110.97 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | MULTIPLE STAR | 0.4% | 276.06 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 160.5
PLACE
1 24.5
2 33
10 229
QUINELLA
1,2 676.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 196.5
1,10 1,378
2,10 1,986
FORECAST
2,1 1,159
TIERCE
2,1,10 89,584
TRIO
1,2,10 20,404
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 9,261
QUARTET
2,1,10,3 348,386
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,12/F 1,511
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 24
6TH DOUBLE
7/1 126
7/2 645.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,10/4,7,12/Any Combination 30,224