Happy Valley · 2021-02-17
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-02-17 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SCORES OF FUN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by NOSE, with SHOUSON second and HERCULES third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SCORES OF FUN TT 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 3.3 | NOSE |
| 2 | 9 | SHOUSON B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 6 | 4.1 | NOSE |
| 3 | 10 | HERCULES B/XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 8 | 23.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | STARZ HERO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ALCARI V Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | ARES K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 9.6 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | JAZZ STEED B/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 10 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY AMIGO B2 C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 9 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | YOUNG PASSION B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 11 | 117.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | PIANO SOLO XB/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 1 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | PRINCE OF BON BON B2 T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 3 | 110.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SCORES OF FUN | 21.0% | 4.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | JAZZ STEED | 18.5% | 5.41 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | ALCARI | 14.3% | 7.01 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | HERCULES | 11.3% | 8.89 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | SHOUSON | 9.5% | 10.54 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | WHAT A LEGEND | 7.5% | 13.30 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | ARES | 5.3% | 18.73 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | PIANO SOLO | 4.3% | 23.06 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 3.3% | 30.70 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | STARZ HERO | 3.0% | 33.68 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 1.3% | 77.95 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | YOUNG PASSION | 0.8% | 118.25 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 33.5
PLACE
1 13.5
9 16
10 54
QUINELLA
1,9 76.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 32
1,10 100
9,10 136.5
FORECAST
1,9 136
TIERCE
1,9,10 1,646
TRIO
1,9,10 395
FIRST 4
1,9,10,11 1,114
QUARTET
1,9,10,11 12,903
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 586
2/9 175.5