Happy Valley · 2021-04-08
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN Closed strongly H-/XB1 1.40.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SPEED TO EXCEED Closed strongly XB1 C Y Ho · R Gibson | C Y Ho | R Gibson | 1 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WELL DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 11 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 50.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly V R Maia · D J Hall | R Maia | D J Hall | 8 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | JOY MASTER V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 6.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | VEGA RHYTHM B/H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 2 | 3.9 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED Closed strongly C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 6 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SHANGHAI POWER H2 Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 9 | 7.6 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART THINKER Closed strongly B2/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 8.3 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS Led early B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 41.0 | 22-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-08 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MANNA FROM HEAVEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K L Man, won by 2-1/4, with SPEED TO EXCEED second and WELL DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite VEGA RHYTHM finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHANGHAI POWER | 16.3% | 6.14 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 14.8% | 6.76 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART THINKER | 12.7% | 7.85 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 9.9% | 10.06 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | VEGA RHYTHM | 9.9% | 10.10 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 8.0% | 12.56 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | WELL DRAGON | 7.3% | 13.69 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 5.8% | 17.27 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 4.3% | 23.46 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 4.0% | 24.94 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 3.9% | 25.81 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEED TO EXCEED | 3.1% | 31.95 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 118
PLACE
2 103
6 35
7 43
QUINELLA
2,6 2,247.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 642
2,7 582.5
6,7 271.5
FORECAST
6,2 3,623
TIERCE
6,2,7 45,108
TRIO
2,6,7 9,169
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 24,928
QUARTET
6,2,7,3 460,170
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 23.5