Happy Valley · 2021-04-08
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-08 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TELECOM FIGHTERS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/4, with HELENE WISDOM STAR second and TURIN REDSTAR third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Wire to wire 1.39.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 4.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 1 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE Closed strongly H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 4 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAR AGAIN SR V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 3 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | THE HULK Closed strongly M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | INDICATIVE VOTE XB/B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 9.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | GOOD BEAUTY B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 33.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | SACRED IBIS XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 11.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | ARMOR STAR V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 32.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 21.6% | 4.62 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 18.3% | 5.47 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED | 11.3% | 8.82 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 8.7% | 11.47 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | ARMOR STAR | 7.8% | 12.86 | 12 |
| 6 | 10 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 6.1% | 16.51 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | THE HULK | 5.7% | 17.56 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAR AGAIN | 5.5% | 18.16 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | SACRED IBIS | 5.0% | 19.96 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.5% | 22.35 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | GOOD BEAUTY | 4.1% | 24.66 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | INDICATIVE VOTE | 1.5% | 67.78 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 40
PLACE
4 29
5 20
8 16.5
QUINELLA
5,8 115.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 79
4,8 76
5,8 48.5
FORECAST
8,5 304
TIERCE
8,5,4 1,718
TRIO
4,5,8 282
FIRST 4
4,5,8,10 1,492
QUARTET
8,5,4,10 24,264
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/4,5,8 574,994
8TH DOUBLE
8/5 263
8/8 1,215
SIX UP
7,9/5,11/3,8/5,6/2,8/5,8 113,914
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
5/8/5 5,020
5/8/8 28,778