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Happy Valley · 2021-04-08

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Wire to wire 1.39.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui 8 4.0 1-1/4
2 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 7 4.6 1-1/4
3 0 TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C H Yip 1 9.5 2
4 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE Closed strongly H N Wong · W Y So 4 19.0 2-1/4
5 0 ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum 5 5.5 3-1/4
6 0 BEAR AGAIN SR V Borges · D E Ferraris 3 19.0 3-3/4
7 0 THE HULK Closed strongly M L Yeung · C Fownes 12 14.0 4-3/4
8 0 INDICATIVE VOTE XB/B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 29.0 5-1/2
9 0 INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size 10 9.8 6-1/4
10 0 GOOD BEAUTY B/TT M F Poon · K L Man 2 33.0 9
11 0 SACRED IBIS XB A Hamelin · A T Millard 9 11.0 9-3/4
12 0 ARMOR STAR V K C Leung · F C Lor 11 32.0 10-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-08 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TELECOM FIGHTERS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/4, with HELENE WISDOM STAR second and TURIN REDSTAR third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TELECOM FIGHTERS—2. HELENE WISDOM STAR+1.25L3. TURIN REDSTAR+2L4. EXCEPTIONAL NICE+2.25L5. ROMANTIC COMBO+3.25L6. BEAR AGAIN+3.75L7. THE HULK+4.75L8. INDICATIVE VOTE+5.5L9. INCANTO PREPARED+6.25L10. GOOD BEAUTY+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick HELENE WISDOM STAR (21.6%) finished 2nd — the winner TELECOM FIGHTERS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR 21.6% 4.62 2
2 0 ROMANTIC COMBO 18.3% 5.47 5
3 0 INCANTO PREPARED 11.3% 8.82 9
4 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 8.7% 11.47 1
5 0 ARMOR STAR 7.8% 12.86 12
6 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE 6.1% 16.51 4
7 0 THE HULK 5.7% 17.56 7
8 0 BEAR AGAIN 5.5% 18.16 6
9 0 SACRED IBIS 5.0% 19.96 11
10 0 TURIN REDSTAR 4.5% 22.35 3
11 0 GOOD BEAUTY 4.1% 24.66 10
12 0 INDICATIVE VOTE 1.5% 67.78 8
HELENE WISDOM STARROMANTIC COMBOINCANTO PREPAREDTELECOM FIGHTERS — wonARMOR STAREXCEPTIONAL NICETHE HULKBEAR AGAINSACRED IBISTURIN REDSTARGOOD BEAUTYINDICATIVE VOTE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 40

PLACE

4 29

5 20

8 16.5

QUINELLA

5,8 115.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 79

4,8 76

5,8 48.5

FORECAST

8,5 304

TIERCE

8,5,4 1,718

TRIO

4,5,8 282

FIRST 4

4,5,8,10 1,492

QUARTET

8,5,4,10 24,264

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 25

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,5,8/4,5,8 574,994

8TH DOUBLE

8/5 263

8/8 1,215

SIX UP

7,9/5,11/3,8/5,6/2,8/5,8 113,914

4 [K Teetan] —

TREBLE

5/8/5 5,020

5/8/8 28,778