Happy Valley · 2021-04-08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly XB 1.40.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly SB-/CP/XB/SR1/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 3.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V/XB A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 9.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE Led early M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MUDITA B1 J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 8.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMBITIOUS HEART B2/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 2 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | STAY CHILL CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | JUNGLE BLAZE TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 6 | 105.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ACA POWER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 72.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | — | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FEARLESS FIRE, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with RAINBOW LIGHT second and SWOT TROOPERS WIND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite GLORIOUS LOVER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MUDITA | 25.6% | 3.91 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 25.1% | 3.99 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 11.8% | 8.47 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 9.1% | 10.95 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | STAY CHILL | 8.2% | 12.14 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 5.7% | 17.44 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 4.6% | 21.53 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 2.7% | 37.58 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 2.4% | 42.44 | — |
| 10 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 2.3% | 43.82 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | JUNGLE BLAZE | 1.5% | 67.78 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | ACA POWER | 1.0% | 95.42 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 117
PLACE
5 34
6 35
10 53
QUINELLA
5,6 901.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 261.5
5,10 436
6,10 478.5
FORECAST
5,6 947
TIERCE
5,6,10 23,192
TRIO
5,6,10 6,321
FIRST 4
5,6,10,11 3,846
QUARTET
5,6,10,11 101,257
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,8/5,6,10 191,270
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 26
6TH DOUBLE
3/5 2,164.5
3/6 160
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,7,11/3,4,8/Any Combination 2,589