Happy Valley · 2021-04-08
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOODLUCK GOODLUCK, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W Y So, won by 2, with STAR OF WUYI second and PEAK TO PEAK third. The 2.5 favourite STAR OF WUYI finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK B 1.10.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 9.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | STAR OF WUYI B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK SR/TT1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CHATER PINS XB A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 2 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | CHIKORITA XB K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 9 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | ORIENTAL AMIGO B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 8 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | STAR OF RED B2/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 5 | 111.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | XPONENTIAL CP C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MULTIPOWER B1/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 4 | 74.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | MR LUMIERES V B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 11 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | FANTASTIC FABIO M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | GRATWICK TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 7 | 18.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK | 26.7% | 3.75 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | STAR OF WUYI | 19.5% | 5.13 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 13.7% | 7.31 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | CHATER PINS | 9.1% | 10.99 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | GRATWICK | 7.6% | 13.24 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 6.0% | 16.55 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | XPONENTIAL | 5.2% | 19.32 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | CHIKORITA | 4.0% | 24.95 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 3.4% | 29.33 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | MR LUMIERES | 2.8% | 35.24 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | STAR OF RED | 1.1% | 88.08 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | MULTIPOWER | 0.9% | 113.09 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 91
PLACE
3 25
4 15
8 12.5
QUINELLA
3,8 127
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 60
3,8 50
4,8 23
FORECAST
3,8 430
TIERCE
3,8,4 991
TRIO
3,4,8 117
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 521
QUARTET
3,8,4,2 14,548
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 36
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
11/3 812
11/8 42.5