Sha Tin · 2021-07-04
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB 2.14.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 1 | 9.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK Closed strongly B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | STAR WIN Closed strongly CP-/SR-/B2/TT H W Lai · D J Whyte | H W Lai | D J Whyte | 12 | 92.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY GEM J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 4.5 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | HAY RUN Led early V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 14.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly CP/H T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 3 | 9.2 | 11-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EXALTATION V/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.7 | 12-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGNETISM B/TT C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 9 | 6.8 | 16-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 4.3 | 18 |
| 12 | 0 | STRONG ALLIANCE B R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 6 | 57.0 | 26-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SMART THINKER V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-04 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FORTUNE PATROL, ridden by H T Mo and trained by A T Millard, won by 3-1/2, with AMAZING AGILITY second and AMAZING LUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite CHEERFUL STAR finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 23.7% | 4.22 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM | 15.7% | 6.35 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | EXALTATION | 12.1% | 8.28 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 9.8% | 10.18 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK | 7.7% | 12.91 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 7.0% | 14.26 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 6.5% | 15.43 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | HAY RUN | 6.2% | 16.19 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 5.2% | 19.28 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE | 2.9% | 34.44 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR WIN | 1.7% | 57.94 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | STRONG ALLIANCE | 1.4% | 69.32 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 91
PLACE
4 31.5
8 84.5
12 31
QUINELLA
4,12 536.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 509.5
4,12 174.5
8,12 435.5
FORECAST
12,4 1,610
TIERCE
12,4,8 24,648
TRIO
4,8,12 4,413
FIRST 4
4,8,11,12 16,995
QUARTET
12,4,8,11 344,551
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 45.5
1/12 340
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 23
A2 —