Sha Tin · 2021-07-04
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. COOLCELEB, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with DASHING FIT second and JADE THEATRE third. The 3.6 favourite DASHING FIT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | COOLCELEB B/TT 1.09.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 25.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | DASHING FIT B B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 9 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | JADE THEATRE B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | SO AWESOME B/XB K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | AMAZING KNIGHT P T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | THE BEST HERO B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 4 | 4.6 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/TT J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 10 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SINCERE BOY B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 140.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | PICHU P-/XB-/H/B1/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 199.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP/H C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 94.0 | 16-3/4 |
| — | 3 | UNTOLD RICHES H1 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 2 | 3.9 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DASHING FIT | 21.3% | 4.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | SPRINT FORWARD | 15.5% | 6.46 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | SO AWESOME | 13.7% | 7.28 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | THE BEST HERO | 13.3% | 7.52 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | COOLCELEB | 8.6% | 11.60 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | LUCKY RUBY | 7.7% | 13.00 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 6.4% | 15.61 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 4.8% | 20.90 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | JADE THEATRE | 4.5% | 22.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | SINCERE BOY | 3.5% | 28.53 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | PICHU | 0.6% | 156.75 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 250.5
PLACE
1 13.5
7 58.5
10 66.5
QUINELLA
1,7 351
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 108.5
1,10 133.5
7,10 616
FORECAST
7,1 1,429
TIERCE
7,1,10 17,145
TRIO
1,7,10 2,195
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 2,367
QUARTET
7,1,10,6 80,082
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 31.5
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
11/1 27.5
11/7 740