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Sha Tin · 2021-07-04

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1200m 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 COOLCELEB B/TT 1.09.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 7 25.0 1
2 0 DASHING FIT B B Shinn · J Size 9 3.6 1
3 0 JADE THEATRE B H Bentley · P F Yiu 12 27.0 2
4 0 SO AWESOME B/XB K Teetan · Y S Tsui 11 5.3 2-1/2
5 0 AMAZING KNIGHT P T Piccone · C H Yip 1 12.0 2-1/2
6 0 LUCKY RUBY B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 5 14.0 3-1/4
7 0 THE BEST HERO B H W Lai · L Ho 4 4.6 4
8 0 SPRINT FORWARD CP/TT J Moreira · D A Hayes 10 32.0 5-1/4
9 0 SINCERE BOY B C Wong · P O'Sullivan 8 140.0 10-3/4
10 0 PICHU P-/XB-/H/B1/TT H N Wong · K H Ting 3 199.0 14-3/4
11 0 SPLIT OF A SECOND CP/H C Y Ho · W Y So 6 94.0 16-3/4
— 0 UNTOLD RICHES H1 Z Purton · C W Chang 2 3.9 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. COOLCELEB, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with DASHING FIT second and JADE THEATRE third. The 3.6 favourite DASHING FIT finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COOLCELEB—2. DASHING FIT+1L3. JADE THEATRE+2L4. SO AWESOME+2.5L5. AMAZING KNIGHT+2.5L6. LUCKY RUBY+3.25L7. THE BEST HERO+4L8. SPRINT FORWARD+5.25L9. SINCERE BOY+10.75L10. PICHU+14.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick DASHING FIT (21.3%) finished 2nd — the winner COOLCELEB was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DASHING FIT 21.3% 4.70 2
2 0 SPRINT FORWARD 15.5% 6.46 8
3 0 SO AWESOME 13.7% 7.28 4
4 0 THE BEST HERO 13.3% 7.52 7
5 0 COOLCELEB 8.6% 11.60 1
6 0 LUCKY RUBY 7.7% 13.00 6
7 0 SPLIT OF A SECOND 6.4% 15.61 11
8 0 AMAZING KNIGHT 4.8% 20.90 5
9 0 JADE THEATRE 4.5% 22.02 3
10 0 SINCERE BOY 3.5% 28.53 9
11 0 PICHU 0.6% 156.75 10
DASHING FITSPRINT FORWARDSO AWESOMETHE BEST HEROCOOLCELEB — wonLUCKY RUBYSPLIT OF A SECONDAMAZING KNIGHTJADE THEATRESINCERE BOYPICHU

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 250.5

PLACE

1 13.5

7 58.5

10 66.5

QUINELLA

1,7 351

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 108.5

1,10 133.5

7,10 616

FORECAST

7,1 1,429

TIERCE

7,1,10 17,145

TRIO

1,7,10 2,195

FIRST 4

1,6,7,10 2,367

QUARTET

7,1,10,6 80,082

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 31.5

A2 —

A1 —

4TH DOUBLE

11/1 27.5

11/7 740