Sha Tin · 2021-07-04
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-07-04 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. KA YING MASTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with PRIVATE ROCKET second and MEGA HEART third. The 3.0 favourite SIGHT SUCCESS finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KA YING MASTER TT 1.08.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 8.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | PRIVATE ROCKET SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | MEGA HEART XB/TT T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 12 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | RESOLUTE B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 5 | 8.3 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SIGHT SUCCESS E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | CZARSON CP/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 10 | 32.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | GUNNISON CP1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | FLYING BONUS P K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 6 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | BEAR SLAM B1 B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 4 | 26.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 4 | SUNNY BOY C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 24.8% | 4.03 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | KA YING MASTER | 18.3% | 5.45 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 11.2% | 8.95 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | CZARSON | 10.9% | 9.20 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | FLYING BONUS | 7.4% | 13.52 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | MIG ENERGY | 6.8% | 14.71 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAR SLAM | 5.1% | 19.67 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | LIKE THAT | 4.6% | 21.92 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | RESOLUTE | 4.2% | 23.65 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | GUNNISON | 3.5% | 28.83 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | MEGA HEART | 3.2% | 30.79 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 83
PLACE
5 40
6 28
9 29.5
QUINELLA
5,6 636.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 213
5,9 252
6,9 140
FORECAST
6,5 1,145
TIERCE
6,5,9 12,743
TRIO
5,6,9 2,237
FIRST 4
5,6,9,12 3,027
QUARTET
6,5,9,12 71,054
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 39.5
A1 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
9/5 206.5
9/6 383