Sha Tin · 2021-12-12 · 12:26
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly 1.34.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT Led early J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 1.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CONQUEROR Closed strongly B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 8.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | COBHFIELD SR/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-12 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FAST MOST FURIOUS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with MASTER DELIGHT second and SENOR TOBA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite MASTER DELIGHT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT | 37.2% | 2.68 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 14.7% | 6.82 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | COBHFIELD | 13.2% | 7.57 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 10.9% | 9.18 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 10.5% | 9.49 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 6.9% | 14.54 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.8% | 20.80 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CONQUEROR | 1.8% | 56.92 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 87
PLACE
1 17
3 11
6 41.5
QUINELLA
1,3 61
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 26.5
1,6 175.5
3,6 54.5
FORECAST
1,3 211
TIERCE
1,3,6 2,068
TRIO
1,3,6 251
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 213
QUARTET
1,3,6,7 6,539
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 26.5
A3 —