Sha Tin · 2021-12-12 · 14:43
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY FIELD TT 1.08.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 1 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RESISTENCIA C Soumillon · T Matsushita | C Soumillon | T Matsushita | 7 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | COURIER WONDER J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 2 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | STRONGER SR/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 4 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COMPUTER PATCH TT D Lane · A S Cruz | D Lane | A S Cruz | 3 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WELLINGTON XB/TT1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 11 | 9.6 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | DANON SMASH Y Kawada · T Yasuda | Y Kawada | T Yasuda | 10 | 37.0 | 70-1/4 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY PATCH H/V Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 3.2 | — |
| — | 0 | AMAZING STAR TT1 L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 12 | 203.0 | — |
| — | 0 | PIXIE KNIGHT Y Fukunaga · H Otonashi | Y Fukunaga | H Otonashi | 8 | 5.4 | — |
| — | 0 | NABOO ATTACK TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.7 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-12 was Group 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SKY FIELD, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with RESISTENCIA second and COURIER WONDER third. The 3.2 favourite LUCKY PATCH did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COURIER WONDER | 43.2% | 2.32 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | WELLINGTON | 11.0% | 9.13 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | STRONGER | 9.9% | 10.13 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN | 9.1% | 11.01 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | RESISTENCIA | 8.9% | 11.19 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY FIELD | 8.8% | 11.38 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | DANON SMASH | 7.0% | 14.18 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | COMPUTER PATCH | 2.1% | 46.67 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 220.5
PLACE
6 43
11 17.5
12 51.5
QUINELLA
6,12 1,614.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 125
6,12 401
11,12 133.5
FORECAST
6,12 2,992
TIERCE
6,12,11 20,965
TRIO
6,11,12 1,873
FIRST 4
1,6,11,12 7,767
QUARTET
6,12,11,1 286,624
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 41
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/6 465
2/12 56