Sha Tin · 2021-12-12 · 15:58
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-12 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with MORE THAN THIS second and SALIOS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 1.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 5 | 44.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SALIOS Led early B-/XB D Lane · N Hori | D Lane | N Hori | 1 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | MOTHER EARTH Closed strongly R Moore · A P O'Brien | R Moore | A P O'Brien | 4 | 45.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | INDY CHAMP Closed strongly C Soumillon · H Otonashi | C Soumillon | H Otonashi | 6 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VIN DE GARDE H K Teetan · H Fujiwara | K Teetan | H Fujiwara | 3 | 103.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | WAIKUKU A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | DANON KINGLY Closed strongly H Y Kawada · K Hagiwara | Y Kawada | K Hagiwara | 9 | 8.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL E B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 7 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | LUCKY EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 72.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 39.6% | 2.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SKY DARCI | 13.7% | 7.30 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | INDY CHAMP | 9.3% | 10.75 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | MOTHER EARTH | 6.5% | 15.38 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | WAIKUKU | 6.3% | 15.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | VIN DE GARDE | 5.1% | 19.74 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 4.9% | 20.48 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | DANON KINGLY | 4.6% | 21.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 4.4% | 22.69 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | MORE THAN THIS | 3.0% | 32.79 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | SALIOS | 2.7% | 37.54 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 13
PLACE
1 10.1
5 53
6 37.5
QUINELLA
1,5 165
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 63
1,6 40.5
5,6 411.5
FORECAST
1,5 191
TIERCE
1,5,6 1,650
TRIO
1,5,6 430
FIRST 4
1,5,6,11 3,136
QUARTET
1,5,6,11 26,868
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,11/1,5,6 32,130
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 13
6TH DOUBLE
11/1 18.5
11/5 105
WINNING TRAINER
B3 —
B2 —
B1 13
B4 —