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Sha Tin · 2021-12-12 · 15:58

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.86
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 2 1.3 1-3/4
2 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly K C Leung · C S Shum 5 44.0 1-3/4
3 0 SALIOS Led early B-/XB D Lane · N Hori 1 14.0 2
4 0 MOTHER EARTH Closed strongly R Moore · A P O'Brien 4 45.0 2-1/2
5 0 INDY CHAMP Closed strongly C Soumillon · H Otonashi 6 18.0 2-3/4
6 0 VIN DE GARDE H K Teetan · H Fujiwara 3 103.0 2-3/4
7 0 WAIKUKU A Badel · J Size 8 23.0 3
8 0 DANON KINGLY Closed strongly H Y Kawada · K Hagiwara 9 8.6 3-1/4
9 0 SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 10 26.0 4-1/2
10 0 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL E B Shinn · J Size 7 19.0 5-3/4
11 0 LUCKY EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size 11 72.0 11

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-12 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with MORE THAN THIS second and SALIOS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. MORE THAN THIS+1.75L3. SALIOS+2L4. MOTHER EARTH+2.5L5. INDY CHAMP+2.75L6. VIN DE GARDE+2.75L7. WAIKUKU+3L8. DANON KINGLY+3.25L9. SKY DARCI+4.5L10. EXCELLENT PROPOSAL+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (39.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 39.6% 2.53 1
2 0 SKY DARCI 13.7% 7.30 9
3 0 INDY CHAMP 9.3% 10.75 5
4 0 MOTHER EARTH 6.5% 15.38 4
5 0 WAIKUKU 6.3% 15.87 7
6 0 VIN DE GARDE 5.1% 19.74 6
7 0 LUCKY EXPRESS 4.9% 20.48 11
8 0 DANON KINGLY 4.6% 21.92 8
9 0 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL 4.4% 22.69 10
10 0 MORE THAN THIS 3.0% 32.79 2
11 0 SALIOS 2.7% 37.54 3
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonSKY DARCIINDY CHAMPMOTHER EARTHWAIKUKUVIN DE GARDELUCKY EXPRESSDANON KINGLYEXCELLENT PROPOSALMORE THAN THISSALIOS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 13

PLACE

1 10.1

5 53

6 37.5

QUINELLA

1,5 165

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 63

1,6 40.5

5,6 411.5

FORECAST

1,5 191

TIERCE

1,5,6 1,650

TRIO

1,5,6 430

FIRST 4

1,5,6,11 3,136

QUARTET

1,5,6,11 26,868

All pools (4 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

6,10,11/1,5,6 32,130

3 PICK 1

A1 13

A3 —

A2 —

6TH DOUBLE

11/1 18.5

11/5 105

WINNING TRAINER

B3 —

B1 13

B2 —

B4 —