Happy Valley · 2022-01-12 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT 2.17.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 9.1 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | CHAMPION PAL Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 16.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | RED IMPACT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Led early SR/TT J Moreira · R Gibson | J Moreira | R Gibson | 2 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY P-/B2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 3 | 35.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER FAST XB/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 4 | 16.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | SKY GEM P V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 6 | 6.9 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | STIMULATION M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-12 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. LEGION OF MERIT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with CHAMPION PAL second and RED IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite RED IMPACT finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 37.8% | 2.65 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 29.5% | 3.39 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 8.3% | 12.10 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER FAST | 6.3% | 15.90 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAMPION PAL | 6.1% | 16.43 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY GEM | 5.3% | 19.04 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 4.0% | 24.98 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 2.8% | 35.24 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 91.5
PLACE
4 37
5 11.5
7 24.5
QUINELLA
4,7 521.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 56.5
4,7 134
5,7 39
FORECAST
7,4 748
TIERCE
7,4,5 3,418
TRIO
4,5,7 461
FIRST 4
4,5,7,8 151
QUARTET
7,4,5,8 5,871
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 32
A3 —
A1 —