Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2022-01-12 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1200m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.10.46
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KING'S TROOPER TT 1.10.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · P F Yiu 4 11.0 N
2 0 CIGAR BUDDIES B A Hamelin · K H Ting 11 32.0 N
3 0 ONE STEP AHEAD B M Chadwick · C W Chang 9 15.0 1
4 0 WINNING STRIKES B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan 10 10.0 1-1/2
5 0 REGENCY POET B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 1 3.1 1-3/4
6 0 VIVA CHEF B H T Mo · L Ho 2 14.0 2-3/4
7 0 ZACIAN Z Purton · C S Shum 7 4.8 2-3/4
8 0 VECTOR B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 3 18.0 3-1/2
9 0 DAILY BEAUTY B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 5 5.0 4-3/4
10 0 ISLAND SUNSHINE PC2 H Bentley · K W Lui 12 120.0 4-3/4
11 0 THE JOLLY B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 6 19.0 5-1/2
12 0 MASTER OF FUN H-/B1/TT K H Chan · C H Yip 8 40.0 13-1/2
— 0 AMAZEMENT V Borges · J Size — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-12 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KING'S TROOPER, ridden by R Maia and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with CIGAR BUDDIES second and ONE STEP AHEAD third. The 3.1 favourite REGENCY POET finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KING'S TROOPER—2. CIGAR BUDDIES+0.05L3. ONE STEP AHEAD+1L4. WINNING STRIKES+1.5L5. REGENCY POET+1.75L6. VIVA CHEF+2.75L7. ZACIAN+2.75L8. VECTOR+3.5L9. DAILY BEAUTY+4.75L10. ISLAND SUNSHINE+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick DAILY BEAUTY (25.8%) finished 9th — the winner KING'S TROOPER was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DAILY BEAUTY 25.8% 3.88 9
2 0 ZACIAN 22.3% 4.49 7
3 0 ONE STEP AHEAD 9.0% 11.12 3
4 0 REGENCY POET 8.7% 11.45 5
5 0 THE JOLLY 8.5% 11.76 11
6 0 KING'S TROOPER 5.9% 17.07 1
7 0 VIVA CHEF 5.3% 18.74 6
8 0 VECTOR 4.7% 21.24 8
9 0 WINNING STRIKES 4.5% 22.13 4
10 0 CIGAR BUDDIES 3.4% 29.16 2
11 0 MASTER OF FUN 1.1% 90.21 12
12 0 ISLAND SUNSHINE 0.8% 124.66 10
DAILY BEAUTYZACIANONE STEP AHEADREGENCY POETTHE JOLLYKING'S TROOPER — wonVIVA CHEFVECTORWINNING STRIKESCIGAR BUDDIESMASTER OF FUNISLAND SUNSHINE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 116

PLACE

5 37

6 80.5

10 35

QUINELLA

5,6 2,166.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 539

5,10 263

6,10 463.5

FORECAST

5,6 4,568

TIERCE

5,6,10 41,942

TRIO

5,6,10 8,970

FIRST 4

5,6,10,11 11,375

QUARTET

5,6,10,11 273,285

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/5 775.5

7/6 388.5

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 22

A3 —