Happy Valley · 2022-01-12 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-12 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KING'S TROOPER, ridden by R Maia and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with CIGAR BUDDIES second and ONE STEP AHEAD third. The 3.1 favourite REGENCY POET finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KING'S TROOPER TT 1.10.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 4 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 32.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 9 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | WINNING STRIKES B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | REGENCY POET B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VIVA CHEF B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | ZACIAN Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | VECTOR B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 5.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ISLAND SUNSHINE PC2 H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 12 | 120.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | THE JOLLY B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 6 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | MASTER OF FUN H-/B1/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 40.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AMAZEMENT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DAILY BEAUTY | 25.8% | 3.88 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | ZACIAN | 22.3% | 4.49 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 9.0% | 11.12 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | REGENCY POET | 8.7% | 11.45 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | THE JOLLY | 8.5% | 11.76 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | KING'S TROOPER | 5.9% | 17.07 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | VIVA CHEF | 5.3% | 18.74 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | VECTOR | 4.7% | 21.24 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | WINNING STRIKES | 4.5% | 22.13 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 3.4% | 29.16 | 2 |
| 11 | 2 | MASTER OF FUN | 1.1% | 90.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 0.8% | 124.66 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 116
PLACE
5 37
6 80.5
10 35
QUINELLA
5,6 2,166.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 539
5,10 263
6,10 463.5
FORECAST
5,6 4,568
TIERCE
5,6,10 41,942
TRIO
5,6,10 8,970
FIRST 4
5,6,10,11 11,375
QUARTET
5,6,10,11 273,285
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/5 775.5
7/6 388.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 22