Happy Valley · 2022-01-12 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT 1.10.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 1 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FALCON TURBO B/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT BOOMING TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | FARIBAULT XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 7 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MOON PEAKS B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 9 | 54.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ARES B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | INESTIMABLE B L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 5 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 65.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HANDSOME BOY B R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 11 | 116.0 | 11-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PRANCE DRAGON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by T P Yung, won by 1/2, with HAPPILY FRIENDS second and FALCON TURBO third. The 2.9 favourite FALCON TURBO finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT BOOMING | 21.6% | 4.64 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 19.5% | 5.14 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | FALCON TURBO | 18.1% | 5.54 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH | 16.1% | 6.21 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON | 7.2% | 13.94 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | FARIBAULT | 4.7% | 21.16 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 4.2% | 24.05 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ARES | 4.1% | 24.21 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.1% | 47.59 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | MOON PEAKS | 1.6% | 61.35 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | INESTIMABLE | 0.5% | 181.91 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | HANDSOME BOY | 0.4% | 281.65 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 157
PLACE
1 33.5
2 13.5
7 15.5
QUINELLA
1,7 235
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 79
1,7 78.5
2,7 30
FORECAST
1,7 554
TIERCE
1,7,2 2,159
TRIO
1,2,7 257
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 228
QUARTET
1,7,2,6 7,197
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 17
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 5,292.5
6/7 240.5