Happy Valley · 2022-01-12 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-12 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHEERFUL DAYS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with GALLANT CROWN second and MALDIVES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite GALLANT CROWN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B 1.41.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 4 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | RED MAJESTY Led early B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | PRESENCE Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | WORLD FAMOUS V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 11 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SMILING TIME CP/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 64.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | SMOOTHIES B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 27.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN | 29.8% | 3.36 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 14.4% | 6.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | PRESENCE | 9.7% | 10.30 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | RED MAJESTY | 9.4% | 10.60 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | WORLD FAMOUS | 7.9% | 12.62 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | MALDIVES | 7.4% | 13.53 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | SMOOTHIES | 7.4% | 13.58 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | NEARLY FINE | 4.4% | 22.52 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 4.2% | 23.60 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED | 4.1% | 24.42 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | SMILING TIME | 1.2% | 81.98 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 53
PLACE
1 19
2 27.5
6 14
QUINELLA
1,6 66.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 79.5
1,6 29.5
2,6 50
FORECAST
1,6 208
TIERCE
1,6,2 712
TRIO
1,2,6 174
FIRST 4
1,2,6,11 220
QUARTET
1,6,2,11 4,912
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,10/1,2,6 14,364
8TH DOUBLE
7/1 224.5
7/6 20
SIX UP
1,7/1,11/4,5/3,6/7,8/1,6 4,387
8 [K C Leung] —
TREBLE
3/7/1 821
3/7/6 106