Happy Valley · 2022-01-12 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OFF THE REEL Closed strongly XB 1.41.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 4 | 7.4 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | DR WINNING Closed strongly TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 7.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 7 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HYPERION TREE Closed strongly A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 3 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 46.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MOERAKI Led early B K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 2 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 6 | 7.6 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY PC Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 6.6 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 61.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-12 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. OFF THE REEL, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with EVER LAUGH second and DR WINNING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite GLORIOUS LOVER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DR WINNING | 22.1% | 4.52 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 17.3% | 5.77 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 14.1% | 7.09 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 12.3% | 8.14 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 8.6% | 11.66 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 6.7% | 14.99 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | MOERAKI | 5.3% | 18.80 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | OFF THE REEL | 5.0% | 19.80 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 4.2% | 23.60 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 2.4% | 40.91 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | HYPERION TREE | 1.4% | 71.96 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 0.5% | 204.71 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 98
PLACE
1 24.5
3 21
11 31.5
QUINELLA
1,11 388.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 71
1,11 121.5
3,11 102.5
FORECAST
11,1 1,218
TIERCE
11,1,3 4,267
TRIO
1,3,11 620
FIRST 4
1,3,6,11 583
QUARTET
11,1,3,6 18,978
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/1,3,11 37,597
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 23
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 132.5
1/11 1,540