Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 13:02
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MIRACLE VICTORY, ridden by L Currie and trained by D A Hayes, won by SH, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and BRILLIANT WAY third. The 1.7 favourite BRILLIANT WAY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | MIRACLE VICTORY TT1 1.09.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 6 | 22.0 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | VOYAGE BUBBLE K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | BRILLIANT WAY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 1.7 | N |
| 4 | 14 | SMART WONGCHOY CP/H L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | KING OF THE COURT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR TT D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 3 | 238.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER HIGHWAY H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | KOKUSHI MUSOU H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 82.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | FANTASY B/XB B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 14 | 47.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 13 | 41.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | TUNG HAYE HAYE TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 131.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 4 | BUDDY SPIRIT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 8 | 263.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | EASY LIFE TT1 A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 219.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BRILLIANT WAY | 26.8% | 3.74 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | KING OF THE COURT | 20.0% | 4.99 | 5 |
| 3 | 14 | SMART WONGCHOY | 8.3% | 12.01 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 8.3% | 12.06 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | TUNG HAYE HAYE | 5.3% | 18.77 | 12 |
| 6 | 11 | HERO STAR | 5.3% | 18.82 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | FANTASY | 5.3% | 18.98 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 5.2% | 19.35 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 5.0% | 19.89 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | MIRACLE VICTORY | 4.8% | 20.71 | 1 |
| 11 | 7 | EASY LIFE | 2.1% | 46.78 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 2.1% | 48.32 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR | 0.7% | 135.77 | 7 |
| 14 | 4 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 0.7% | 144.30 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 227.5
PLACE
3 11.5
10 33
13 47
QUINELLA
10,13 963.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 45.5
3,13 70.5
10,13 233.5
FORECAST
13,10 2,143
TIERCE
13,10,3 5,984
TRIO
3,10,13 447
FIRST 4
3,10,13,14 522
QUARTET
13,10,3,14 24,602
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 48.5
A1 —
A3 —