Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 15:06
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B 1.35.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FREE FOAL CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Led early CP/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 14 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 3 | 46.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB1 Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 11 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 43.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 255.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | MR ALDAN B/TT D Moor · A S Cruz | D Moor | A S Cruz | 12 | 30.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SICOMORO TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 13 | 87.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | SOLAR POWER B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 9 | 11.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LEADING FORTUNE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with RIGHT AS RAIN second and FREE FOAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 20.8% | 4.80 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 19.6% | 5.10 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 16.3% | 6.15 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 7.1% | 14.10 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 6.3% | 15.90 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 5.8% | 17.24 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CITY LEGEND | 5.5% | 18.22 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 5.2% | 19.07 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 4.8% | 20.81 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 3.7% | 26.72 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 2.4% | 41.15 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SICOMORO | 2.0% | 49.13 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 0.4% | 259.66 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 30.5
PLACE
9 14.5
10 25.5
13 22.5
QUINELLA
9,10 191.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 70
9,13 63
10,13 104
FORECAST
9,10 279
TIERCE
9,10,13 1,818
TRIO
9,10,13 459
FIRST 4
2,9,10,13 2,736
QUARTET
9,10,13,2 36,751
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 23
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/9 578.5
3/10 196.5