Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 16:39
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CROSSFORD, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by SH, with CAPTAIN WIN second and INFINITE POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite CAPTAIN WIN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P 1.35.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 6.5 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 1.8 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | INFINITE POWER Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 5.5 | SH |
| 4 | 3 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 5 | 148.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ODE TO JOY B1/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 160.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 12 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | PERFECT TO GREAT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | AWE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 14 | 34.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | LOOKING COOL CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | BEAUTY NOVA J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | FUNCTION PATCH B-/H/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 10 | 58.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP/H/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 8 | 165.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 4 | COPARTNER ELITES K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN | 28.5% | 3.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | INFINITE POWER | 12.1% | 8.27 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | CROSSFORD | 11.6% | 8.63 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY NOVA | 11.5% | 8.66 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 8.9% | 11.24 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 5.3% | 18.76 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | AWE | 5.1% | 19.47 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | ZOOM BOOM | 4.7% | 21.28 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | LOOKING COOL | 3.8% | 26.44 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | FUNCTION PATCH | 3.0% | 33.09 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | ODE TO JOY | 2.0% | 48.78 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.7% | 57.25 | 4 |
| 13 | 14 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 1.6% | 63.21 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 65.5
PLACE
1 11
6 18.5
9 16.5
QUINELLA
1,6 52
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 24
1,9 22.5
6,9 43
FORECAST
6,1 190
TIERCE
6,1,9 533
TRIO
1,6,9 58
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 885
QUARTET
6,1,9,3 13,582
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/1,4 14.5
10/6 243