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Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 16:39

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.00
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P 1.35.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size 1 6.5 SH
2 0 CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 7 1.8 SH
3 0 INFINITE POWER Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor 2 5.5 SH
4 0 MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly H Bentley · P F Yiu 5 148.0 1-1/4
5 0 ODE TO JOY B1/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 160.0 1-3/4
6 0 SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu 12 13.0 2
7 0 PERFECT TO GREAT B Shinn · C Fownes 3 18.0 2-1/4
8 0 ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly C L Chau · D J Whyte 11 21.0 2-1/2
9 0 AWE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes 14 34.0 2-3/4
10 0 LOOKING COOL CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor 6 41.0 3-1/4
11 0 BEAUTY NOVA J Moreira · J Size 4 18.0 6-1/2
12 0 FUNCTION PATCH B-/H/TT A Badel · K W Lui 10 58.0 7-1/4
13 0 GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP/H/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz 8 165.0 9-1/4
— 0 COPARTNER ELITES K Teetan · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CROSSFORD, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by SH, with CAPTAIN WIN second and INFINITE POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite CAPTAIN WIN finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CROSSFORD—2. CAPTAIN WIN+0.1L3. INFINITE POWER+0.1L4. MR ASCENDENCY+1.25L5. ODE TO JOY+1.75L6. SUPER DYNAMITE+2L7. PERFECT TO GREAT+2.25L8. ZOOM BOOM+2.5L9. AWE+2.75L10. LOOKING COOL+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick CAPTAIN WIN (28.5%) finished 2nd — the winner CROSSFORD was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CAPTAIN WIN 28.5% 3.50 2
2 0 INFINITE POWER 12.1% 8.27 3
3 0 CROSSFORD 11.6% 8.63 1
4 0 BEAUTY NOVA 11.5% 8.66 11
5 0 SUPER DYNAMITE 8.9% 11.24 6
6 0 PERFECT TO GREAT 5.3% 18.76 7
7 0 AWE 5.1% 19.47 9
8 0 ZOOM BOOM 4.7% 21.28 8
9 0 LOOKING COOL 3.8% 26.44 10
10 0 FUNCTION PATCH 3.0% 33.09 12
11 0 ODE TO JOY 2.0% 48.78 5
12 0 MR ASCENDENCY 1.7% 57.25 4
13 0 GOLDEN SPECTRUM 1.6% 63.21 13
CAPTAIN WININFINITE POWERCROSSFORD — wonBEAUTY NOVASUPER DYNAMITEPERFECT TO GREATAWEZOOM BOOMLOOKING COOLFUNCTION PATCHODE TO JOYMR ASCENDENCYGOLDEN SPECTRUM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 65.5

PLACE

1 11

6 18.5

9 16.5

QUINELLA

1,6 52

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 24

1,9 22.5

6,9 43

FORECAST

6,1 190

TIERCE

6,1,9 533

TRIO

1,6,9 58

FIRST 4

1,3,6,9 885

QUARTET

6,1,9,3 13,582

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 14

A3 —

7TH DOUBLE

10/1,4 14.5

10/6 243