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Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 17:13

Race 9

4YO GOOD 1600m Course A+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 1.33.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum 1 4.9 1/2
2 0 CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 13 4.6 1/2
3 0 THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 2 7.8 2-1/4
4 0 TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly SR C L Chau · D J Whyte 12 86.0 4
5 0 IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 10 27.0 4-1/2
6 0 SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly V Borges · J Size 7 14.0 5
9 0 BLAZE WARRIOR B1/TT A Hamelin · J Size 5 24.0 6
10 0 ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes 8 57.0 6-1/4
11 0 MASTER DELIGHT Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size 14 17.0 7
12 0 FA FA TT A Badel · F C Lor 3 16.0 7-1/2
13 0 COBHFIELD XB-/SR/TT1 L Ferraris · A T Millard 9 245.0 8-1/4
14 0 PACKING VICTORY TT Z Purton · C S Shum 4 3.1 9
— 0 SETANTA Closed strongly B K C Leung · K W Lui — 91.0 5-1/2
— 0 LUCKY WITH YOU H Bentley · D A Hayes — 25.0 5-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was 4YO over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with CALIFORNIA SPANGLE second and THE IRISHMAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite PACKING VICTORY finished 14th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROMANTIC WARRIOR—2. CALIFORNIA SPANGLE+0.5L3. THE IRISHMAN+2.25L4. TURIN REDSUN+4L5. IMA SINGLE MAN+4.5L6. SIGHT SPIRIT+5L9. BLAZE WARRIOR+6L10. ROCKET SPADE+6.25L11. MASTER DELIGHT+7L12. FA FA+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ROMANTIC WARRIOR (19.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ROMANTIC WARRIOR 19.9% 5.04 1
2 0 PACKING VICTORY 16.8% 5.97 14
3 0 CALIFORNIA SPANGLE 12.6% 7.96 2
4 0 MASTER DELIGHT 10.6% 9.44 11
5 0 FA FA 10.6% 9.46 12
6 0 SIGHT SPIRIT 7.6% 13.16 6
7 0 THE IRISHMAN 4.9% 20.21 3
8 0 LUCKY WITH YOU 4.9% 20.54 —
9 0 SETANTA 3.8% 26.61 —
10 0 IMA SINGLE MAN 2.9% 33.94 5
11 0 TURIN REDSUN 2.0% 48.91 4
12 0 BLAZE WARRIOR 1.9% 53.63 9
13 0 ROCKET SPADE 1.1% 89.91 10
14 0 COBHFIELD 0.5% 185.68 13
ROMANTIC WARRIOR — wonPACKING VICTORYCALIFORNIA SPANGLEMASTER DELIGHTFA FASIGHT SPIRITTHE IRISHMANLUCKY WITH YOUSETANTAIMA SINGLE MANTURIN REDSUNBLAZE WARRIORROCKET SPADECOBHFIELD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 49

PLACE

1 21.5

7 17.5

9 22.5

QUINELLA

1,7 131.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 52

1,9 73.5

7,9 68

FORECAST

7,1 284

TIERCE

7,1,9 1,907

TRIO

1,7,9 413

FIRST 4

1,7,9,14 8,736

QUARTET

7,1,9,14 92,440

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 21

A1 —

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

6/1 67.5

6/7 364

WINNING TRAINER

B3 19

B1 —

B2 —

B4 —