Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was 4YO over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with CALIFORNIA SPANGLE second and THE IRISHMAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite PACKING VICTORY finished 14th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 1.33.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 13 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly SR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 86.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SETANTA Closed strongly B K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 11 | 91.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY WITH YOU H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BLAZE WARRIOR B1/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 57.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MASTER DELIGHT Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | FA FA TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | COBHFIELD XB-/SR/TT1 L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 9 | 245.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | PACKING VICTORY TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 3.1 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 19.9% | 5.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | PACKING VICTORY | 16.8% | 5.97 | 14 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 12.6% | 7.96 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MASTER DELIGHT | 10.6% | 9.44 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | FA FA | 10.6% | 9.46 | 12 |
| 6 | 13 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 7.6% | 13.16 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | THE IRISHMAN | 4.9% | 20.21 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 4.9% | 20.54 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | SETANTA | 3.8% | 26.61 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 2.9% | 33.94 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | TURIN REDSUN | 2.0% | 48.91 | 4 |
| 12 | 3 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 1.9% | 53.63 | 9 |
| 13 | 10 | ROCKET SPADE | 1.1% | 89.91 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | COBHFIELD | 0.5% | 185.68 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 49
PLACE
1 21.5
7 17.5
9 22.5
QUINELLA
1,7 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 52
1,9 73.5
7,9 68
FORECAST
7,1 284
TIERCE
7,1,9 1,907
TRIO
1,7,9 413
FIRST 4
1,7,9,14 8,736
QUARTET
7,1,9,14 92,440
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 21
8TH DOUBLE
6/1 67.5
6/7 364
WINNING TRAINER
B1 —
B2 —
B3 19
B4 —