Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 14:06
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. VOYAGE STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with LADY FIRST second and SALUTATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite SUPER MISSION finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR Closed strongly V/TT 1.22.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 9 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | LADY FIRST Closed strongly CP/H/XB/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 43.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | SALUTATION Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER MISSION Led early H/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 2.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | RED BRICK FIGHTER Closed strongly B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 7 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | AMIGOS GIGGLE K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 2 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | WISDOM PATCH Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 7.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SWIFT SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT2 H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | PEAK TO PEAK B/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 13 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | THE MULTIPLIER Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 12 | 62.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | STORMTROUPER XB Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 4.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 14 | 269.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | GOLDEN BOLT SR/XB/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 4 | FUN N GLORY C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SALUTATION | 22.2% | 4.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | STORMTROUPER | 17.4% | 5.76 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER MISSION | 13.5% | 7.38 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLDEN BOLT | 9.8% | 10.20 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 6.7% | 14.90 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | PEAK TO PEAK | 5.6% | 17.92 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 5.5% | 18.32 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | LADY FIRST | 5.1% | 19.54 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | VOYAGE STAR | 4.8% | 20.87 | 1 |
| 10 | 14 | WISDOM PATCH | 4.0% | 24.95 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 2.9% | 34.59 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | THE MULTIPLIER | 2.1% | 46.92 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | JUBILATION | 0.4% | 271.19 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 159
PLACE
7 25
11 44.5
13 95
QUINELLA
11,13 2,981.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 186.5
7,13 473
11,13 900
FORECAST
11,13 7,372
TIERCE
11,13,7 53,621
TRIO
7,11,13 6,748
FIRST 4
2,7,11,13 4,063
QUARTET
11,13,7,2 205,729
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/11 1,536
2/13 274.5
3 PICK 1
A3 20
A1 —
A2 —