Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 14:35
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly TT 1.22.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | DESTIN Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER KIN TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly CP1 J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 13 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B-/V1 L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B2 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | BRILLIANT CHINA B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | THE JOLLY Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 14 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES TT1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 8 | 103.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER B K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 10 | 43.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | ZACIAN Led early CP1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 4.6 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 13.0 | 13-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG VICTORY, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by 2-1/2, with DESTIN second and SUPER KIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite SUNNY BABY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY BABY | 20.3% | 4.92 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ZACIAN | 19.8% | 5.05 | 13 |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 8.9% | 11.22 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 8.8% | 11.42 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER KIN | 7.6% | 13.18 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 6.8% | 14.62 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 5.5% | 18.26 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | THE JOLLY | 4.3% | 23.08 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 4.2% | 24.09 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 4.1% | 24.16 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 3.7% | 27.13 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 2.5% | 39.74 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | DESTIN | 1.8% | 54.63 | 2 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.7% | 60.21 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 121.5
PLACE
3 43.5
6 30
13 28.5
QUINELLA
3,6 644
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 223.5
3,13 258.5
6,13 187
FORECAST
3,6 1,709
TIERCE
3,6,13 14,079
TRIO
3,6,13 2,453
FIRST 4
3,6,8,13 2,995
QUARTET
3,6,13,8 95,793
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,11,13/3,6,13 2,008,070
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 19.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
11/3 2,607
11/6 322