Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 16:06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ZEBROWSKI Closed strongly TT 1.46.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 3 | 4.3 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 4 | 25.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 8 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KA YING STAR Led early V/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | PANFIELD TT B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 6 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 2.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 27.0 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. ZEBROWSKI, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with BUTTERFIELD second and SAVVY NINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite EXCELLENT PROPOSAL finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 29.6% | 3.38 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | ZEBROWSKI | 25.3% | 3.96 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 14.1% | 7.11 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 8.3% | 12.01 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 4.4% | 22.95 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 4.2% | 23.68 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 4.0% | 24.87 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM | 3.7% | 27.05 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | PANFIELD | 3.3% | 30.66 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 3.2% | 31.38 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 43.5
PLACE
7 54
9 48.5
10 16
QUINELLA
7,10 451
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 493.5
7,10 126.5
9,10 107.5
FORECAST
10,7 771
TIERCE
10,7,9 6,988
TRIO
7,9,10 2,354
FIRST 4
4,7,9,10 2,149
QUARTET
10,7,9,4 53,680
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/7,9,10 701,874
3 PICK 1
A2 27.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/7 259
2/10 206.5
WINNING TRAINER
B3 —
B2 32
B1 —
B4 —