Sha Tin · 2022-01-30 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-30 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TRADER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-3/4, with STAR OF YUEN LONG second and FLYING DRAGON third. The 2.2 favourite FLYING DRAGON finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TRADER B-/CP2/TT 1.09.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 7 | 5.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 5 | 6.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING DRAGON K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 2.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | BOYS PARTY B/XB A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 4 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SKY SHOW B2/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | NOBODY KNOWS H- H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 8 | 246.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 9.6 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | ENDOWED H/P1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 90.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER AXIOM P-/H/TT J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 9 | 8.7 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | EUROMISSILE B/H/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 37.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | DASHING GENIUS H-/B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 98.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT D Moor · R Gibson | D Moor | R Gibson | 11 | 37.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING DRAGON | 26.3% | 3.81 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER AXIOM | 24.8% | 4.03 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | TRADER | 11.3% | 8.81 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 9.5% | 10.53 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | SKY SHOW | 6.6% | 15.15 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 5.4% | 18.64 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | FORTUNE HERO | 5.3% | 18.90 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | EUROMISSILE | 4.3% | 23.51 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | BOYS PARTY | 3.4% | 29.64 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | ENDOWED | 1.3% | 74.26 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | DASHING GENIUS | 1.2% | 84.16 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | NOBODY KNOWS | 0.7% | 152.58 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 54.5
PLACE
1 18
2 16
3 12.5
QUINELLA
1,2 152.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 50
1,3 34
2,3 24.5
FORECAST
2,1 254
TIERCE
2,1,3 755
TRIO
1,2,3 101
FIRST 4
1,2,3,12 316
QUARTET
2,1,3,12 7,851
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
13/1 263.5
13/2 979
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A3 —
A1 —