Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED MAJESTY, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D A Hayes, won by NOSE, with VILLA FIONN second and HORSESAIN BOLT third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite PRESENCE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RED MAJESTY Wire to wire B/TT 1.40.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 9.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 8 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.5 | NOSE |
| 3 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | STORM LEGEND J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 5.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS P/XB/TT D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 8 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 30.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | PRESENCE CP1/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 2.4 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STORM LEGEND | 30.3% | 3.30 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | PRESENCE | 22.0% | 4.55 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 13.0% | 7.69 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | INCANTO PREPARED | 10.2% | 9.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | VILLA FIONN | 7.8% | 12.88 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 7.4% | 13.45 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 5.1% | 19.74 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | RED MAJESTY | 4.3% | 23.27 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 94.5
PLACE
5 26
7 24.5
8 18
QUINELLA
7,8 194.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 100
5,8 65.5
7,8 61.5
FORECAST
7,8 461
TIERCE
7,8,5 2,090
TRIO
5,7,8 428
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 581
QUARTET
7,8,5,2 13,803
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 51
A1 —