Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE Closed strongly 1.51.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 2 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 8 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND Led early B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 7 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 72.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 3 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | HYPERION TREE B1 A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 1 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 4.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | METHANE B2/TT1 L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SICOMORO H/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 68.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | — | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with KING DRAGON second and PAKISTAN FRIEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite SUPER HONG KONG did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 29.4% | 3.40 | — |
| 2 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 13.0% | 7.67 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 12.9% | 7.75 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 12.6% | 7.95 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | HYPERION TREE | 5.8% | 17.33 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.2% | 19.18 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | METHANE | 5.0% | 19.82 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 4.8% | 20.69 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.82 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE | 3.2% | 31.56 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | SICOMORO | 1.6% | 61.26 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 1.6% | 62.20 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 175.5
PLACE
1 51
6 14
9 71
QUINELLA
1,6 317
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 120.5
1,9 608
6,9 154
FORECAST
1,6 827
TIERCE
1,6,9 15,156
TRIO
1,6,9 2,052
FIRST 4
1,2,6,9 7,997
QUARTET
1,6,9,2 183,834
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 23
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 445
6/6 13.5