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Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 20:48

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT 1.09.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 16.0 1/2
2 0 STORMTROUPER XB-/TT2 B Shinn · C H Yip 2 14.0 1/2
4 0 BLISSFUL STAR CP1/TT Z Purton · K H Ting 6 3.5 2
5 0 HARRIER JET B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 7 37.0 2-1/4
6 0 ICE LEGEND H/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 5 9.2 2-1/4
7 0 LORIZ A Hamelin · P F Yiu 11 10.0 3-1/2
8 0 WINS ALL TT H Bentley · W Y So 8 19.0 3-3/4
9 0 HAPPY PROFIT B-/TT D Moor · C S Shum 3 35.0 4
10 0 GALLANT WAKING C Y Ho · K W Lui 9 3.4 4-1/2
11 0 JAZZ ANGEL B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 12 20.0 5-1/2
12 0 THE GOOD DEAL B/TT R Maia · C W Chang 10 72.0 6-3/4
— 0 PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz — 7.1 2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VALIANT ELEGANCE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with STORMTROUPER second and BLISSFUL STAR third. The 3.4 favourite GALLANT WAKING finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VALIANT ELEGANCE—2. STORMTROUPER+0.5L4. BLISSFUL STAR+2L5. HARRIER JET+2.25L6. ICE LEGEND+2.25L7. LORIZ+3.5L8. WINS ALL+3.75L9. HAPPY PROFIT+4L10. GALLANT WAKING+4.5L11. JAZZ ANGEL+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick BLISSFUL STAR (21.3%) finished 4th — the winner VALIANT ELEGANCE was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BLISSFUL STAR 21.3% 4.69 4
2 0 PERFECT PEACH 15.0% 6.65 —
3 0 GALLANT WAKING 11.3% 8.86 10
4 0 JAZZ ANGEL 10.0% 9.99 11
5 0 STORMTROUPER 9.8% 10.24 2
6 0 LORIZ 8.6% 11.65 7
7 0 ICE LEGEND 8.0% 12.52 6
8 0 VALIANT ELEGANCE 4.6% 21.85 1
9 0 WINS ALL 4.1% 24.61 8
10 0 HAPPY PROFIT 4.1% 24.65 9
11 0 HARRIER JET 2.2% 45.58 5
12 0 THE GOOD DEAL 1.1% 91.96 12
BLISSFUL STARPERFECT PEACHGALLANT WAKINGJAZZ ANGELSTORMTROUPERLORIZICE LEGENDVALIANT ELEGANCE — wonWINS ALLHAPPY PROFITHARRIER JETTHE GOOD DEAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 164

PLACE

3 35

5 21

11 40.5

QUINELLA

3,11 851.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 124

3,11 239

5,11 166

FORECAST

11,3 2,215

TIERCE

11,3,5 10,529

TRIO

3,5,11 1,273

FIRST 4

3,5,7,11 1,134

QUARTET

11,3,5,7 38,331

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,6,9/3,5,11 1,668,605

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 24

A1 —

4TH DOUBLE

1/3 395.5

1/11 3,857