Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 20:48
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VALIANT ELEGANCE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with STORMTROUPER second and PERFECT PEACH third. The 3.4 favourite GALLANT WAKING finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT 1.09.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | STORMTROUPER XB-/TT2 B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 2 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | BLISSFUL STAR CP1/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 6 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | HARRIER JET B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ICE LEGEND H/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 9.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | LORIZ A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | WINS ALL TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HAPPY PROFIT B-/TT D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 3 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 3.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | JAZZ ANGEL B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | THE GOOD DEAL B/TT R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 10 | 72.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BLISSFUL STAR | 21.3% | 4.69 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | PERFECT PEACH | 15.0% | 6.65 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING | 11.3% | 8.86 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | JAZZ ANGEL | 10.0% | 9.99 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | STORMTROUPER | 9.8% | 10.24 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | LORIZ | 8.6% | 11.65 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | ICE LEGEND | 8.0% | 12.52 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 4.6% | 21.85 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | WINS ALL | 4.1% | 24.61 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY PROFIT | 4.1% | 24.65 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | HARRIER JET | 2.2% | 45.58 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | THE GOOD DEAL | 1.1% | 91.96 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 164
PLACE
3 35
5 21
11 40.5
QUINELLA
3,11 851.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 124
3,11 239
5,11 166
FORECAST
11,3 2,215
TIERCE
11,3,5 10,529
TRIO
3,5,11 1,273
FIRST 4
3,5,7,11 1,134
QUARTET
11,3,5,7 38,331
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,9/3,5,11 1,668,605
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 395.5
1/11 3,857