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Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 19:48

Race 3

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course A 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.54
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.39.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size 6 2.3 SH
2 0 VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly B1 J Moreira · K L Man 3 3.2 SH
3 0 ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C Fownes 7 28.0 2
4 0 TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B C L Chau · D J Hall 1 6.9 2-3/4
5 0 SUPER TEN B/XB B Shinn · D J Whyte 4 12.0 3-1/2
6 0 LEAP OF FAITH V Borges · J Size 2 16.0 5-1/4
7 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly CP/H/TT D Moor · A S Cruz 8 47.0 6-1/4
8 0 WORLD FAMOUS V M F Poon · P F Yiu 5 26.0 7
9 0 TRUE LEGEND Led early B Z Purton · F C Lor 9 11.0 12-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ZONE D, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by SH, with VIVA HUNTER second and ROYAL BOMB third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ZONE D—2. VIVA HUNTER+0.1L3. ROYAL BOMB+2L4. TOTAL POWER+2.75L5. SUPER TEN+3.5L6. LEAP OF FAITH+5.25L7. HELENE WISDOM STAR+6.25L8. WORLD FAMOUS+7L9. TRUE LEGEND+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick VIVA HUNTER (30.3%) finished 2nd — the winner ZONE D was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 VIVA HUNTER 30.3% 3.30 2
2 0 TRUE LEGEND 18.7% 5.36 9
3 0 TOTAL POWER 14.6% 6.87 4
4 0 ZONE D 14.4% 6.92 1
5 0 SUPER TEN 8.4% 11.88 5
6 0 LEAP OF FAITH 5.2% 19.07 6
7 0 WORLD FAMOUS 3.5% 28.50 8
8 0 ROYAL BOMB 3.5% 28.81 3
9 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR 1.4% 69.27 7
VIVA HUNTERTRUE LEGENDTOTAL POWERZONE D — wonSUPER TENLEAP OF FAITHWORLD FAMOUSROYAL BOMBHELENE WISDOM STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 23

PLACE

4 59

6 11.5

9 15

QUINELLA

6,9 39.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 130.5

4,9 138

6,9 18

FORECAST

6,9 73

TIERCE

6,9,4 995

TRIO

4,6,9 291

FIRST 4

4,6,7,9 300

QUARTET

6,9,4,7 3,835

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

6/6 87.5

6/9 30.5

3 PICK 1

A1 13.5

A3 —

A2 —