Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT1 L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 6 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SHINING GEM B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | ACE ONE B1/XB1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RESOLUTE B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 10 | 46.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY CP/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 11 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 39.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THE HULK D Moor · C Fownes | D Moor | C Fownes | 12 | 103.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 3 | 99.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | KINDA COOL B C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 38.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | — | 2.1 | 2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TORONADO PHANTOM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 2, with MAGIC PHOENIX second and SHINING GEM third. The 2.1 favourite LUCKY SWEYNESSE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 39.1% | 2.56 | — |
| 2 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 22.4% | 4.46 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 14.5% | 6.91 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 4.0% | 25.22 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON | 3.8% | 26.08 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | KINDA COOL | 3.8% | 26.29 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH | 3.6% | 28.14 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | ACE ONE | 2.7% | 37.32 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | THE HULK | 2.4% | 41.24 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | RESOLUTE | 2.1% | 48.46 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 0.9% | 116.30 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 0.8% | 127.39 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 21
PLACE
2 12.5
4 36
12 12
QUINELLA
2,12 25.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 57
2,12 16.5
4,12 62
FORECAST
12,2 45
TIERCE
12,2,4 392
TRIO
2,4,12 91
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 279
QUARTET
12,2,4,1 2,618
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 11.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/2,4,12 8,990
8TH DOUBLE
8/2 24.5
8/12 88
SIX UP
1,6/3,11/3,5,10/9,12/8,10/2,12 3,491
1/11/3,5/12/8/12 240,859
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
12/8/2 92
12/8/12 280