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Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.41.68
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly TT 1.41.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · T P Yung 2 2.1 3/4
2 0 WIN CHARM Led early TT A Badel · K W Lui 12 107.0 3/4
3 0 CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes 3 15.0 2
4 0 EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · K L Man 1 5.5 2-1/4
5 0 NEARLY FINE TT K H Chan · C Fownes 5 10.0 2-1/2
6 0 PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 6 7.3 2-3/4
7 0 VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 10 21.0 3-1/4
8 0 SHINY ONE XB-/V/TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu 4 58.0 3-3/4
9 0 RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly CP/SR/XB/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte 9 10.0 5
10 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS V L Hewitson · C H Yip 7 42.0 5-1/2
11 0 FARSHAD CP K C Leung · Y S Tsui 8 34.0 5-1/2
12 0 YOUNG VICTORY TT H Bentley · W Y So 11 20.0 6-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY JAI JAI, ridden by J Moreira and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with WIN CHARM second and CHATER PINS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY JAI JAI—2. WIN CHARM+0.75L3. CHATER PINS+2L4. EVER LAUGH+2.25L5. NEARLY FINE+2.5L6. PACKING FAMOUS+2.75L7. VIVA POPCORN+3.25L8. SHINY ONE+3.75L9. RAINBOW LIGHT+5L10. MURRAY'S PARTNERS+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick HAPPY JAI JAI (37.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HAPPY JAI JAI 37.8% 2.65 1
2 0 EVER LAUGH 13.4% 7.45 4
3 0 NEARLY FINE 9.5% 10.55 5
4 0 VIVA POPCORN 7.1% 14.14 7
5 0 RAINBOW LIGHT 6.7% 14.82 9
6 0 CHATER PINS 6.5% 15.41 3
7 0 PACKING FAMOUS 6.4% 15.61 6
8 0 YOUNG VICTORY 6.1% 16.45 12
9 0 SHINY ONE 3.7% 26.96 8
10 0 FARSHAD 1.4% 73.42 11
11 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS 0.8% 131.73 10
12 0 WIN CHARM 0.7% 148.09 2
HAPPY JAI JAI — wonEVER LAUGHNEARLY FINEVIVA POPCORNRAINBOW LIGHTCHATER PINSPACKING FAMOUSYOUNG VICTORYSHINY ONEFARSHADMURRAY'S PARTNERSWIN CHARM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 21.5

PLACE

9 208.5

11 35.5

12 12.5

QUINELLA

9,12 1,548.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 1,502

9,12 482.5

11,12 59.5

FORECAST

12,9 1,642

TIERCE

12,9,11 15,839

TRIO

9,11,12 4,611

FIRST 4

1,9,11,12 3,505

QUARTET

12,9,11,1 77,263

All pools (4 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,10>3,5/9,11,12 144,067

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 18

A3 —

6TH DOUBLE

3,5/9 502

3,5/12 51.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,5,11/4,10>3,5/Any Combination 11,149