Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY JAI JAI, ridden by J Moreira and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with WIN CHARM second and CHATER PINS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly TT 1.41.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 2 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | WIN CHARM Led early TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 12 | 107.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 3 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | NEARLY FINE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 10 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SHINY ONE XB-/V/TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 58.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly CP/SR/XB/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 9 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS V L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 7 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | FARSHAD CP K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 11 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 37.8% | 2.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | EVER LAUGH | 13.4% | 7.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | NEARLY FINE | 9.5% | 10.55 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | VIVA POPCORN | 7.1% | 14.14 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 6.7% | 14.82 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | CHATER PINS | 6.5% | 15.41 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | PACKING FAMOUS | 6.4% | 15.61 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY | 6.1% | 16.45 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | SHINY ONE | 3.7% | 26.96 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | FARSHAD | 1.4% | 73.42 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 0.8% | 131.73 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | WIN CHARM | 0.7% | 148.09 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 21.5
PLACE
9 208.5
11 35.5
12 12.5
QUINELLA
9,12 1,548.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 1,502
9,12 482.5
11,12 59.5
FORECAST
12,9 1,642
TIERCE
12,9,11 15,839
TRIO
9,11,12 4,611
FIRST 4
1,9,11,12 3,505
QUARTET
12,9,11,1 77,263
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,10>3,5/9,11,12 144,067
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
3,5/9 502
3,5/12 51.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,11/4,10>3,5/Any Combination 11,149