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Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly 1.40.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung 9 3.8 1
2 0 AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang 8 11.0 1
3 0 DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size 12 6.2 1-3/4
4 0 DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 3 7.6 2-3/4
5 0 TRAVEL GLORY B K C Leung · Y S Tsui 2 5.9 3-1/4
6 0 OH BRAVO Closed strongly CP1/TT A Badel · W Y So 7 12.0 3-1/2
7 0 A A AGILITY B H T Mo · L Ho 4 81.0 6
8 0 ALL YOU KNOW B/H/TT R Maia · R Gibson 1 5.9 6-1/2
9 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip 11 28.0 7-1/2
10 0 ALL BEST FRIENDS B K Teetan · K L Man 10 30.0 8-1/2
11 0 WONDERFUL FANTASY Led early CP-/B1 D Moor · K W Lui 5 29.0 8-3/4
12 0 HEROIC CHAMPION B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan 6 26.0 15-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON PRIDE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with AMAZING BOY second and DIAMOND STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DRAGON PRIDE—2. AMAZING BOY+1L3. DIAMOND STAR+1.75L4. DAILY BEAUTY+2.75L5. TRAVEL GLORY+3.25L6. OH BRAVO+3.5L7. A A AGILITY+6L8. ALL YOU KNOW+6.5L9. GORGEOUS INHERITOR+7.5L10. ALL BEST FRIENDS+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick DIAMOND STAR (23.8%) finished 3rd — the winner DRAGON PRIDE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DIAMOND STAR 23.8% 4.19 3
2 0 DRAGON PRIDE 23.8% 4.20 1
3 0 ALL YOU KNOW 11.5% 8.68 8
4 0 AMAZING BOY 10.2% 9.78 2
5 0 DAILY BEAUTY 9.6% 10.41 4
6 0 OH BRAVO 4.6% 21.74 6
7 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR 4.3% 23.35 9
8 0 TRAVEL GLORY 3.5% 28.98 5
9 0 ALL BEST FRIENDS 2.9% 34.47 10
10 0 A A AGILITY 2.6% 39.14 7
11 0 HEROIC CHAMPION 1.7% 58.48 12
12 0 WONDERFUL FANTASY 1.5% 67.32 11
DIAMOND STARDRAGON PRIDE — wonALL YOU KNOWAMAZING BOYDAILY BEAUTYOH BRAVOGORGEOUS INHERITORTRAVEL GLORYALL BEST FRIENDSA A AGILITYHEROIC CHAMPIONWONDERFUL FANTASY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 38

PLACE

6 16.5

9 28.5

12 24.5

QUINELLA

6,9 173.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 62.5

6,12 56

9,12 107

FORECAST

6,9 266

TIERCE

6,9,12 1,011

TRIO

6,9,12 256

FIRST 4

5,6,9,12 439

QUARTET

6,9,12,5 6,677

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/6 398.5

7/9 152.5

3 PICK 1

A1 23

A3 —

A2 —