Happy Valley · 2022-03-02 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-02 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON PRIDE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with AMAZING BOY second and DIAMOND STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly 1.40.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TRAVEL GLORY B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | OH BRAVO Closed strongly CP1/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | A A AGILITY B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 81.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | ALL YOU KNOW B/H/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 1 | 5.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 30.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | WONDERFUL FANTASY Led early CP-/B1 D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 5 | 29.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | HEROIC CHAMPION B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 26.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DIAMOND STAR | 23.8% | 4.19 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | DRAGON PRIDE | 23.8% | 4.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | ALL YOU KNOW | 11.5% | 8.68 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | AMAZING BOY | 10.2% | 9.78 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | DAILY BEAUTY | 9.6% | 10.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | OH BRAVO | 4.6% | 21.74 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 4.3% | 23.35 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | TRAVEL GLORY | 3.5% | 28.98 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 2.9% | 34.47 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | A A AGILITY | 2.6% | 39.14 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | HEROIC CHAMPION | 1.7% | 58.48 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | WONDERFUL FANTASY | 1.5% | 67.32 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 38
PLACE
6 16.5
9 28.5
12 24.5
QUINELLA
6,9 173.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 62.5
6,12 56
9,12 107
FORECAST
6,9 266
TIERCE
6,9,12 1,011
TRIO
6,9,12 256
FIRST 4
5,6,9,12 439
QUARTET
6,9,12,5 6,677
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/6 398.5
7/9 152.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 23