Happy Valley · 2022-03-23 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly B- 2.17.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly XB/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 5.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly B- D Moor · Y S Tsui | D Moor | Y S Tsui | 7 | 23.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 8 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT TIMES Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 12 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 7.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY B B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 3 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.6 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B- K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 67.0 | 26-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GRAND POWER Led early J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 11 | 8.6 | 35-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-23 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SKY GEM, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with JOLLY FOREVER second and FORTUNE TRIPLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.0 favourite JOLLY FOREVER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 25.2% | 3.96 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 13.5% | 7.41 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 12.3% | 8.15 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 11.0% | 9.13 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 9.1% | 10.95 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 7.0% | 14.34 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 6.6% | 15.09 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 4.7% | 21.21 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SKY GEM | 4.3% | 23.44 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT TIMES | 2.6% | 37.83 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 2.4% | 42.25 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 1.3% | 76.17 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 133
PLACE
6 22
8 41
11 67.5
QUINELLA
6,8 356.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 114
6,11 264.5
8,11 496
FORECAST
8,6 851
TIERCE
8,6,11 21,226
TRIO
6,8,11 2,661
FIRST 4
2,6,8,11 7,803
QUARTET
8,6,11,2 181,726
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 20.5