Happy Valley · 2022-03-23 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMART IDEA H/TT 1.10.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 3 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FAULDS XB/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 6 | 88.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NOTHING NEW H/P/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 12 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY SHARING TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | MR COLOURFUL CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 2 | 4.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER DOBBIN B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 8 | 50.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 36.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | LOCKHEED CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 30.0 | ML |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. SMART IDEA, ridden by H Bentley and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with SEIZING THE MOMENT second and FAULDS third. The 2.2 favourite SEIZING THE MOMENT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 28.5% | 3.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS | 12.6% | 7.96 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART IDEA | 10.2% | 9.83 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 9.9% | 10.09 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | LOCKHEED | 8.1% | 12.30 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | MR COLOURFUL | 6.9% | 14.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER DOBBIN | 5.1% | 19.43 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 4.8% | 20.68 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 4.6% | 21.75 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON | 4.4% | 22.78 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | FAULDS | 2.8% | 35.67 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY SHARING | 2.0% | 49.95 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 79
PLACE
6 12
10 140.5
12 23
QUINELLA
6,12 89
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 267
6,12 38
10,12 690
FORECAST
12,6 248
TIERCE
12,6,10 10,178
TRIO
6,10,12 1,705
FIRST 4
6,8,10,12 2,663
QUARTET
12,6,10,8 64,676
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/6,10,12 130,286
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/6 24.5
4/12 299.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,9>4,12/2,4,7/Any Combination 16,710