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Happy Valley · 2022-03-23 · 22:53

Race 9

Class 3 YIELDING 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.57
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H 1.40.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · L Ho 8 5.8 1-1/4
2 0 VIVA HUNTER B J Moreira · K L Man 5 2.4 1-1/4
3 0 BEAUTY GLORY Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 6 44.0 1-3/4
4 0 ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT B Shinn · J Size 7 10.0 2
5 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS P/XB/TT Z Purton · T P Yung 1 6.4 4-1/2
6 0 KILLER INSTINCT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 12 27.0 6-1/4
7 0 GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B A Badel · A T Millard 9 33.0 6-3/4
8 0 COPARTNER FIONN V Borges · W Y So 2 10.0 7-1/2
9 0 TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 10 63.0 7-3/4
10 0 VILLA FIONN B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 3 9.8 8
11 0 SURREALISM B R Maia · R Gibson 11 53.0 9-3/4
12 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE CP M Chadwick · F C Lor 4 21.0 13-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on YIELDING going. PACKING AWARD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by L Ho, won by 1-1/4, with VIVA HUNTER second and BEAUTY GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite VIVA HUNTER finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PACKING AWARD—2. VIVA HUNTER+1.25L3. BEAUTY GLORY+1.75L4. ZONE D+2L5. AMAZING ONE PLUS+4.5L6. KILLER INSTINCT+6.25L7. GIFT OF LIFELINE+6.75L8. COPARTNER FIONN+7.5L9. TOTAL POWER+7.75L10. VILLA FIONN+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick VIVA HUNTER (21.0%) finished 2nd — the winner PACKING AWARD was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 VIVA HUNTER 21.0% 4.77 2
2 0 PACKING AWARD 15.0% 6.69 1
3 0 ZONE D 13.3% 7.53 4
4 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS 11.3% 8.85 5
5 0 COPARTNER FIONN 8.6% 11.62 8
6 0 VILLA FIONN 6.3% 15.96 10
7 0 TOTAL POWER 5.4% 18.48 9
8 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE 5.3% 18.97 12
9 0 KILLER INSTINCT 4.8% 20.90 6
10 0 SURREALISM 3.6% 28.13 11
11 0 GIFT OF LIFELINE 3.2% 30.78 7
12 0 BEAUTY GLORY 2.4% 42.48 3
VIVA HUNTERPACKING AWARD — wonZONE DAMAZING ONE PLUSCOPARTNER FIONNVILLA FIONNTOTAL POWERCHEVALIER PRINCEKILLER INSTINCTSURREALISMGIFT OF LIFELINEBEAUTY GLORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 58

PLACE

3 94.5

9 19

11 12.5

QUINELLA

9,11 63

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 344

3,11 196.5

9,11 30.5

FORECAST

9,11 133

TIERCE

9,11,3 4,106

TRIO

3,9,11 843

FIRST 4

2,3,9,11 936

QUARTET

9,11,3,2 17,801

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 17

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

5,10,11/3,9,11 42,894

8TH DOUBLE

5/9 56

5/11 10.5

SIX UP

2/4,12/4/12/5/9 158,405

2,12/4,9,12/2,4/6,12/5,10/9,11 5,830

1 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

12/5/9 579

12/5/11 58