Happy Valley · 2022-03-23 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on YIELDING going. PACKING AWARD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by L Ho, won by 1-1/4, with VIVA HUNTER second and BEAUTY GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite VIVA HUNTER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H 1.40.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 8 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | VIVA HUNTER B J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 5 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 44.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 7 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS P/XB/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 6.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | KILLER INSTINCT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 27.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 9 | 33.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | COPARTNER FIONN V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 63.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | VILLA FIONN B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 3 | 9.8 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | SURREALISM B R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 11 | 53.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 21.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VIVA HUNTER | 21.0% | 4.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | PACKING AWARD | 15.0% | 6.69 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | ZONE D | 13.3% | 7.53 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 11.3% | 8.85 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | COPARTNER FIONN | 8.6% | 11.62 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | VILLA FIONN | 6.3% | 15.96 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | TOTAL POWER | 5.4% | 18.48 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 5.3% | 18.97 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | KILLER INSTINCT | 4.8% | 20.90 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | SURREALISM | 3.6% | 28.13 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 3.2% | 30.78 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | BEAUTY GLORY | 2.4% | 42.48 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 58
PLACE
3 94.5
9 19
11 12.5
QUINELLA
9,11 63
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 344
3,11 196.5
9,11 30.5
FORECAST
9,11 133
TIERCE
9,11,3 4,106
TRIO
3,9,11 843
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 936
QUARTET
9,11,3,2 17,801
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,11/3,9,11 42,894
8TH DOUBLE
5/9 56
5/11 10.5
SIX UP
2/4,12/4/12/5/9 158,405
2,12/4,9,12/2,4/6,12/5,10/9,11 5,830
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
12/5/9 579
12/5/11 58