Happy Valley · 2022-03-23 · 20:17
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. WILD WEST WING, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with EUROMISSILE second and HERCULES third. The 2.3 favourite COLONEL finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WILD WEST WING 1.10.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | EUROMISSILE B/H/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 116.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | HERCULES XB/B2/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 9 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | JOYFUL GENIUS CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 5 | 8.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY GATHERING B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HARRIER JET B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | ENCORE TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 93.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | COLONEL Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 4 | 2.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | QUORUM B/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 8 | 114.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | AHEAD A HEAD B D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 6 | 36.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COLONEL | 28.9% | 3.46 | 10 |
| 2 | 7 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 12.7% | 7.89 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO | 12.0% | 8.35 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | WILD WEST WING | 9.4% | 10.68 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | HERCULES | 9.3% | 10.77 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY GATHERING | 8.7% | 11.48 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 8.0% | 12.52 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | AHEAD A HEAD | 3.6% | 27.42 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | HARRIER JET | 3.5% | 28.87 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | EUROMISSILE | 2.3% | 44.02 | 2 |
| 11 | 5 | QUORUM | 0.9% | 108.28 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | ENCORE | 0.8% | 129.05 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 100
PLACE
2 27
10 33
12 205
QUINELLA
2,12 5,246.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 162
2,12 1,445.5
10,12 1,769
FORECAST
2,12 9,500
TIERCE
2,12,10 122,850
TRIO
2,10,12 22,812
FIRST 4
2,7,10,12 18,677
QUARTET
2,12,10,7 706,424
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 34
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 585
2/12 1,529.5