Happy Valley · 2022-03-23 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. JADE PHOENIX, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by 3-1/4, with SUN OF MAKFI second and BABY third. The winner led throughout. The 2.7 favourite HAPPY JAI JAI finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JADE PHOENIX Wire to wire B-/CP1/TT 1.40.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 2 | 3.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BABY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 1 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | EVER LAUGH B/TT B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 7 | 2.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly H/SR A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 3 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | OUR CLASS ACT Closed strongly L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 107.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 7.9 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | METHANE B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | PRIDE OF DRAGON Closed strongly B- H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 38.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 32.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | GREEN LASER SR-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 50.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 38.1% | 2.62 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | RED IMPACT | 15.2% | 6.59 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | SUN OF MAKFI | 11.3% | 8.82 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | BABY | 6.2% | 16.06 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | JADE PHOENIX | 6.2% | 16.21 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 5.2% | 19.26 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | EVER LAUGH | 4.8% | 20.65 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | ISLAND SHINE | 4.3% | 23.07 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.48 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | METHANE | 2.7% | 36.81 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | GREEN LASER | 2.4% | 42.54 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | OUR CLASS ACT | 0.5% | 182.10 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 177
PLACE
4 22.5
7 50.5
11 15
QUINELLA
7,11 297
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 181.5
4,11 52.5
7,11 94.5
FORECAST
7,11 909
TIERCE
7,11,4 4,860
TRIO
4,7,11 558
FIRST 4
1,4,7,11 2,846
QUARTET
7,11,4,1 78,473
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/7 3,123
8/11 105.5
3 PICK 1
A3 37.5
A1 —
A2 —