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Happy Valley · 2022-03-23 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 JADE PHOENIX Wire to wire B-/CP1/TT 1.40.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor 4 17.0 3-1/4
2 0 SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · D J Hall 2 3.8 3-1/4
3 0 BABY B A Hamelin · K H Ting 1 7.4 4
4 0 EVER LAUGH B/TT B Shinn · K L Man 12 23.0 4-1/4
5 0 HAPPY JAI JAI TT J Moreira · T P Yung 7 2.7 4-1/2
6 0 FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly H/SR A Badel · K W Lui 3 12.0 5
7 0 OUR CLASS ACT Closed strongly L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 10 107.0 5
8 0 RED IMPACT Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes 11 7.9 6
9 0 METHANE B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 6 17.0 7-1/4
10 0 PRIDE OF DRAGON Closed strongly B- H Bentley · C H Yip 9 38.0 8
11 0 ISLAND SHINE B K C Leung · P F Yiu 5 32.0 8-1/2
12 0 GREEN LASER SR-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 8 50.0 9

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. JADE PHOENIX, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by 3-1/4, with SUN OF MAKFI second and BABY third. The winner led throughout. The 2.7 favourite HAPPY JAI JAI finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. JADE PHOENIX—2. SUN OF MAKFI+3.25L3. BABY+4L4. EVER LAUGH+4.25L5. HAPPY JAI JAI+4.5L6. FOXHUNTER WAY+5L7. OUR CLASS ACT+5L8. RED IMPACT+6L9. METHANE+7.25L10. PRIDE OF DRAGON+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick HAPPY JAI JAI (38.1%) finished 5th — the winner JADE PHOENIX was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HAPPY JAI JAI 38.1% 2.62 5
2 0 RED IMPACT 15.2% 6.59 8
3 0 SUN OF MAKFI 11.3% 8.82 2
4 0 BABY 6.2% 16.06 3
5 0 JADE PHOENIX 6.2% 16.21 1
6 0 FOXHUNTER WAY 5.2% 19.26 6
7 0 EVER LAUGH 4.8% 20.65 4
8 0 ISLAND SHINE 4.3% 23.07 11
9 0 PRIDE OF DRAGON 3.0% 33.48 10
10 0 METHANE 2.7% 36.81 9
11 0 GREEN LASER 2.4% 42.54 12
12 0 OUR CLASS ACT 0.5% 182.10 7
HAPPY JAI JAIRED IMPACTSUN OF MAKFIBABYJADE PHOENIX — wonFOXHUNTER WAYEVER LAUGHISLAND SHINEPRIDE OF DRAGONMETHANEGREEN LASEROUR CLASS ACT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 177

PLACE

4 22.5

7 50.5

11 15

QUINELLA

7,11 297

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 181.5

4,11 52.5

7,11 94.5

FORECAST

7,11 909

TIERCE

7,11,4 4,860

TRIO

4,7,11 558

FIRST 4

1,4,7,11 2,846

QUARTET

7,11,4,1 78,473

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/7 3,123

8/11 105.5

3 PICK 1

A3 37.5

A2 —

A1 —